Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Little Green Pharma Ltd's (ASX:LGP) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 27%

ASX:LGP
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The Little Green Pharma Ltd (ASX:LGP) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Little Green Pharma may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 4.8x and even P/S higher than 21x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Little Green Pharma

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LGP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 30th 2024

How Has Little Green Pharma Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for Little Green Pharma as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Little Green Pharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Little Green Pharma?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Little Green Pharma's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 393,373% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Little Green Pharma's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Little Green Pharma's P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Little Green Pharma's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Little Green Pharma maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Little Green Pharma that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.