We Think Botanix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:BOT) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. Indeed, Botanix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:BOT) stock is up 119% in the last year, providing strong gains for shareholders. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Botanix Pharmaceuticals' cash burn is too risky. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
Check out our latest analysis for Botanix Pharmaceuticals
When Might Botanix Pharmaceuticals Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Botanix Pharmaceuticals last reported its balance sheet in December 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$19m. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$8.1m. So it had a cash runway of about 2.4 years from December 2020. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals Growing?
Botanix Pharmaceuticals managed to reduce its cash burn by 66% over the last twelve months, which suggests it's on the right flight path. Unfortunately, however, operating revenue dropped 9.1% during the same time frame. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Botanix Pharmaceuticals is building its business over time.
Can Botanix Pharmaceuticals Raise More Cash Easily?
We are certainly impressed with the progress Botanix Pharmaceuticals has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.
Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$90m, Botanix Pharmaceuticals' AU$8.1m in cash burn equates to about 9.1% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
Is Botanix Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn A Worry?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Botanix Pharmaceuticals is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn reduction suggests that the company is on a good path. Although its falling revenue does give us reason for pause, the other metrics we discussed in this article form a positive picture overall. Considering all the factors discussed in this article, we're not overly concerned about the company's cash burn, although we do think shareholders should keep an eye on how it develops. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for Botanix Pharmaceuticals (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course Botanix Pharmaceuticals may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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About ASX:BOT
Botanix Pharmaceuticals
Engages in the research and development of dermatology and antimicrobial products in Australia and the United States.
Exceptional growth potential with excellent balance sheet.