Stock Analysis

Will AnteoTech (ASX:ADO) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

ASX:ADO
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should AnteoTech (ASX:ADO) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for AnteoTech

SWOT Analysis for AnteoTech

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • ADO's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine ADO's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.

When Might AnteoTech Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When AnteoTech last reported its balance sheet in December 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$6.4m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$10m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of December 2022. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:ADO Debt to Equity History May 5th 2023

How Is AnteoTech's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Although AnteoTech had revenue of AU$1.9m in the last twelve months, its operating revenue was only AU$680k in that time period. Given how low that operating leverage is, we think it's too early to put much weight on the revenue growth, so we'll focus on how the cash burn is changing, instead. With the cash burn rate up 10% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. AnteoTech makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

Can AnteoTech Raise More Cash Easily?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, AnteoTech shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

AnteoTech's cash burn of AU$10m is about 14% of its AU$76m market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

How Risky Is AnteoTech's Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought AnteoTech's cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Looking at the factors mentioned in this short report, we do think that its cash burn is a bit risky, and it does make us slightly nervous about the stock. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 5 warning signs for AnteoTech you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit unpleasant.

Of course AnteoTech may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.