ARN Media Limited

CHIA:A1N Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$206.6m

ARN Media Valuation

Is A1N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of A1N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: A1N (A$0.72) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$5.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: A1N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for A1N?

Key metric: As A1N is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for A1N. This is calculated by dividing A1N's market cap by their current revenue.
What is A1N's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesAU$336.49m
Market CapAU$206.61m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does A1N's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for A1N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
SWM Seven West Media
0.2x-0.8%AU$227.9m
SXL Southern Cross Media Group
0.3x0.8%AU$139.1m
SEG Sports Entertainment Group
0.5xn/aAU$61.0m
NEC Nine Entertainment Holdings
0.7x2.3%AU$2.0b
A1N ARN Media
0.6x6.0%AU$206.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: A1N is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does A1N's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Media Industry?

113 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
A1N 0.6xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies129PS012345+
113 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: A1N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the Global Media industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is A1N's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

A1N PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: A1N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst A1N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.72
AU$0.65
-9.7%
22.5%AU$0.90AU$0.50n/a5
Dec ’25AU$0.71
AU$0.65
-8.8%
22.5%AU$0.90AU$0.50n/a5
Nov ’25AU$0.69
AU$0.65
-6.5%
22.5%AU$0.90AU$0.50n/a5
Oct ’25AU$0.71
AU$0.62
-12.9%
24.5%AU$0.90AU$0.46n/a6
Sep ’25AU$0.56
AU$0.66
+18.2%
27.9%AU$0.90AU$0.46n/a6
Aug ’25AU$0.70
AU$0.94
+34.3%
12.9%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a6
Jul ’25AU$0.62
AU$0.94
+51.1%
12.0%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Jun ’25AU$0.80
AU$0.94
+17.1%
12.0%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
May ’25AU$0.85
AU$0.95
+11.9%
11.9%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Apr ’25AU$0.85
AU$0.95
+11.6%
11.9%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Mar ’25AU$0.88
AU$0.98
+12.0%
12.4%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Feb ’25AU$1.02
AU$1.01
-0.5%
16.2%AU$1.24AU$0.80n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
AU$1.01
0%
16.2%AU$1.24AU$0.80n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
AU$1.02
0%
15.1%AU$1.24AU$0.82AU$0.717
Nov ’24n/a
AU$1.02
0%
15.1%AU$1.24AU$0.82AU$0.697
Oct ’24n/a
AU$1.07
0%
15.4%AU$1.25AU$0.82AU$0.717
Sep ’24n/a
AU$1.16
0%
24.6%AU$1.79AU$0.82AU$0.568
Aug ’24n/a
AU$1.43
0%
21.1%AU$1.79AU$1.00AU$0.708
Jul ’24n/a
AU$1.43
0%
21.1%AU$1.79AU$1.00AU$0.628
Jun ’24n/a
AU$1.43
0%
21.2%AU$1.79AU$1.00AU$0.808
May ’24AU$1.11
AU$1.49
+34.5%
20.3%AU$1.85AU$1.00AU$0.858
Apr ’24AU$1.13
AU$1.54
+36.6%
18.8%AU$1.85AU$1.00AU$0.857
Mar ’24AU$1.15
AU$1.58
+37.0%
18.1%AU$1.85AU$1.00AU$0.888
Feb ’24AU$1.14
AU$1.62
+42.7%
17.3%AU$2.00AU$1.10AU$1.028
Jan ’24AU$0.95
AU$1.63
+70.6%
20.8%AU$2.10AU$1.10n/a9
Dec ’23AU$1.10
AU$1.65
+49.5%
21.0%AU$2.10AU$1.10n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 16:48
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ARN Media Limited is covered by 19 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark McDonnellAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
April LowisBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited