ARN Media Limited

CHIA:A1N Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$222.3m

ARN Media Valuation

Is A1N undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of A1N when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: A1N (A$0.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$4.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: A1N is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for A1N?

Key metric: As A1N is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for A1N. This is calculated by dividing A1N's market cap by their current revenue.
What is A1N's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesAU$336.49m
Market CapAU$222.27m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does A1N's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for A1N vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.4x
SWM Seven West Media
0.2x-0.8%AU$243.1m
SXL Southern Cross Media Group
0.3x0.8%AU$139.1m
SEG Sports Entertainment Group
0.6xn/aAU$70.8m
NEC Nine Entertainment Holdings
0.8x2.4%AU$2.0b
A1N ARN Media
0.7x6.0%AU$222.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: A1N is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does A1N's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Media Industry?

108 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
A1N 0.7xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies136PS012345+
108 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: A1N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the Global Media industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is A1N's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

A1N PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: A1N is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst A1N forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.71
AU$0.65
-8.5%
22.5%AU$0.90AU$0.50n/a5
Nov ’25AU$0.69
AU$0.65
-6.5%
22.5%AU$0.90AU$0.50n/a5
Oct ’25AU$0.71
AU$0.62
-12.9%
24.5%AU$0.90AU$0.46n/a6
Sep ’25AU$0.56
AU$0.66
+18.2%
27.9%AU$0.90AU$0.46n/a6
Aug ’25AU$0.70
AU$0.94
+34.3%
12.9%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a6
Jul ’25AU$0.62
AU$0.94
+51.1%
12.0%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Jun ’25AU$0.80
AU$0.94
+17.1%
12.0%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
May ’25AU$0.85
AU$0.95
+11.9%
11.9%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Apr ’25AU$0.85
AU$0.95
+11.6%
11.9%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Mar ’25AU$0.88
AU$0.98
+12.0%
12.4%AU$1.15AU$0.78n/a7
Feb ’25AU$1.02
AU$1.01
-0.5%
16.2%AU$1.24AU$0.80n/a7
Jan ’25n/a
AU$1.01
0%
16.2%AU$1.24AU$0.80n/a7
Dec ’24n/a
AU$1.02
0%
15.1%AU$1.24AU$0.82n/a7
Nov ’24n/a
AU$1.02
0%
15.1%AU$1.24AU$0.82AU$0.697
Oct ’24n/a
AU$1.07
0%
15.4%AU$1.25AU$0.82AU$0.717
Sep ’24n/a
AU$1.16
0%
24.6%AU$1.79AU$0.82AU$0.568
Aug ’24n/a
AU$1.43
0%
21.1%AU$1.79AU$1.00AU$0.708
Jul ’24n/a
AU$1.43
0%
21.1%AU$1.79AU$1.00AU$0.628
Jun ’24n/a
AU$1.43
0%
21.2%AU$1.79AU$1.00AU$0.808
May ’24AU$1.11
AU$1.49
+34.5%
20.3%AU$1.85AU$1.00AU$0.858
Apr ’24AU$1.13
AU$1.54
+36.6%
18.8%AU$1.85AU$1.00AU$0.857
Mar ’24AU$1.15
AU$1.58
+37.0%
18.1%AU$1.85AU$1.00AU$0.888
Feb ’24AU$1.14
AU$1.62
+42.7%
17.3%AU$2.00AU$1.10AU$1.028
Jan ’24AU$0.95
AU$1.63
+70.6%
20.8%AU$2.10AU$1.10n/a9
Dec ’23AU$1.10
AU$1.65
+49.5%
21.0%AU$2.10AU$1.10n/a9
Nov ’23AU$1.24
AU$1.73
+39.9%
19.9%AU$2.20AU$1.10n/a9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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