Seven West Media Limited

ASX:SWM Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$325.9m

Seven West Media Valuation

Is SWM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWM (A$0.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SWM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.7x
PEG Ratio-8.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
SXL Southern Cross Media Group
29.2x26.3%AU$219.5m
NEC Nine Entertainment Holdings
25.2x18.7%AU$2.5b
IGL IVE Group
21.4x43.7%AU$318.7m
EGG Enero Group
4.7x28.4%AU$142.5m
SWM Seven West Media
3.8x-0.5%AU$325.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Media Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the Global Media industry average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SWM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.21
AU$0.29
+36.6%
46.5%AU$0.69AU$0.20n/a11
Apr ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.30
+56.9%
44.9%AU$0.69AU$0.21n/a11
Mar ’25AU$0.22
AU$0.33
+47.9%
41.4%AU$0.69AU$0.22n/a11
Feb ’25AU$0.25
AU$0.33
+33.6%
28.2%AU$0.55AU$0.23n/a10
Jan ’25AU$0.27
AU$0.35
+28.1%
26.3%AU$0.55AU$0.23n/a10
Dec ’24AU$0.25
AU$0.38
+52.0%
33.9%AU$0.69AU$0.26n/a11
Nov ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.42
+59.9%
24.4%AU$0.69AU$0.30n/a11
Oct ’24AU$0.32
AU$0.42
+34.5%
24.4%AU$0.69AU$0.30n/a11
Sep ’24AU$0.31
AU$0.42
+36.7%
24.4%AU$0.69AU$0.30n/a11
Aug ’24AU$0.38
AU$0.47
+24.2%
19.3%AU$0.69AU$0.40n/a11
Jul ’24AU$0.38
AU$0.51
+35.8%
17.9%AU$0.69AU$0.40n/a11
Jun ’24AU$0.38
AU$0.51
+34.0%
17.9%AU$0.69AU$0.40n/a11
May ’24AU$0.39
AU$0.50
+28.8%
14.6%AU$0.60AU$0.40n/a10
Apr ’24AU$0.41
AU$0.52
+24.3%
22.1%AU$0.80AU$0.40AU$0.1910
Mar ’24AU$0.41
AU$0.57
+39.7%
27.0%AU$0.83AU$0.40AU$0.2212
Feb ’24AU$0.46
AU$0.58
+26.7%
28.7%AU$0.90AU$0.40AU$0.2512
Jan ’24AU$0.40
AU$0.58
+46.2%
30.2%AU$0.90AU$0.40AU$0.2712
Dec ’23AU$0.42
AU$0.59
+38.0%
30.7%AU$0.90AU$0.40AU$0.2511
Nov ’23AU$0.48
AU$0.62
+28.4%
25.6%AU$0.90AU$0.42AU$0.2711
Oct ’23AU$0.41
AU$0.62
+49.2%
26.3%AU$0.90AU$0.42AU$0.3211
Sep ’23AU$0.49
AU$0.63
+27.3%
26.1%AU$0.90AU$0.42AU$0.3111
Aug ’23AU$0.46
AU$0.64
+41.1%
27.9%AU$0.95AU$0.42AU$0.3810
Jul ’23AU$0.39
AU$0.71
+81.8%
18.7%AU$0.95AU$0.50AU$0.389
Jun ’23AU$0.48
AU$0.74
+54.4%
20.4%AU$0.95AU$0.50AU$0.389
May ’23AU$0.70
AU$0.78
+11.6%
16.4%AU$0.95AU$0.60AU$0.398
Apr ’23AU$0.69
AU$0.78
+12.4%
16.4%AU$0.95AU$0.60AU$0.418

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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