Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that HT&E Limited (ASX:HT1) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for HT&E
What Is HT&E's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 HT&E had debt of AU$2.93m, up from none in one year. But it also has AU$115.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has AU$112.1m net cash.
A Look At HT&E's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that HT&E had liabilities of AU$45.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$156.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$115.1m and AU$45.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$41.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given HT&E has a market capitalization of AU$521.6m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, HT&E also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Also positive, HT&E grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine HT&E's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. HT&E may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, HT&E recorded free cash flow of 45% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing up
We could understand if investors are concerned about HT&E's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of AU$112.1m. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 25% over the last year. So we don't think HT&E's use of debt is risky. While HT&E didn't make a statutory profit in the last year, its positive EBIT suggests that profitability might not be far away. Click here to see if its earnings are heading in the right direction, over the medium term.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About ASX:A1N
ARN Media
Operates as a media and entertainment company in Australia and Hong Kong.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.