Stock Analysis

What Is CAR Group Limited's (ASX:CAR) Share Price Doing?

ASX:CAR
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While CAR Group Limited (ASX:CAR) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ASX, rising to highs of AU$36.79 and falling to the lows of AU$33.15. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether CAR Group's current trading price of AU$33.77 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at CAR Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for CAR Group

Is CAR Group Still Cheap?

According to our valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 21%, trading at AU$33.77 compared to our intrinsic value of A$27.97. This means that the opportunity to buy CAR Group at a good price has disappeared! Furthermore, CAR Group’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its true value, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

Can we expect growth from CAR Group?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:CAR Earnings and Revenue Growth July 4th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. CAR Group's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 23%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in CAR’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe CAR should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CAR for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CAR, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you want to dive deeper into CAR Group, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for CAR Group you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.