Aurelia Metals Limited

CHIA:AMI Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$304.5m

Aurelia Metals Valuation

Is AMI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMI (A$0.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$0.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMI?

Key metric: As AMI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AMI. This is calculated by dividing AMI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AMI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesAU$309.89m
Market CapAU$304.48m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AMI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AMI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9x
OMH OM Holdings
0.3x14.5%AU$282.8m
29M 29Metals
0.7x10.5%AU$335.3m
JMS Jupiter Mines
34xn/aAU$274.4m
GNG GR Engineering Services
1xn/aAU$417.5m
AMI Aurelia Metals
1x6.1%AU$304.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AMI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AMI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

126 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.58.1x3.3%
AMI Aurelia Metals
 1x6.1%US$189.31m
BHP BHP Group
2.2x-3.1%US$125.39b
FMG Fortescue
1.9x-5.5%US$35.21b
AMI 1.0xIndustry Avg. 58.1xNo. of Companies125PS020406080100+
126 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.58.1x10.8%
AMI Aurelia Metals
 1x32.3%US$189.31m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AMI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (58.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.18
AU$0.26
+46.3%
7.8%AU$0.29AU$0.24n/a3
Dec ’25AU$0.17
AU$0.25
+49.3%
5.7%AU$0.27AU$0.24n/a3
Nov ’25AU$0.18
AU$0.25
+40.8%
5.7%AU$0.27AU$0.24n/a3
Oct ’25AU$0.18
AU$0.21
+16.7%
35.8%AU$0.26AU$0.08n/a4
Sep ’25AU$0.16
AU$0.21
+36.5%
36.4%AU$0.27AU$0.08n/a4
Aug ’25AU$0.17
AU$0.22
+27.5%
37.1%AU$0.28AU$0.08n/a4
Jul ’25AU$0.18
AU$0.21
+12.2%
36.1%AU$0.27AU$0.08n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.20
+6.6%
35.2%AU$0.25AU$0.08n/a4
May ’25AU$0.19
AU$0.20
+1.3%
34.5%AU$0.25AU$0.08n/a4
Apr ’25AU$0.15
AU$0.17
+13.1%
34.6%AU$0.23AU$0.08n/a4
Mar ’25AU$0.14
AU$0.19
+43.2%
16.0%AU$0.22AU$0.15n/a3
Feb ’25AU$0.11
AU$0.19
+65.9%
18.2%AU$0.22AU$0.14n/a3
Jan ’25AU$0.11
AU$0.19
+65.9%
18.2%AU$0.22AU$0.14AU$0.173
Dec ’24AU$0.11
AU$0.18
+70.5%
16.9%AU$0.21AU$0.14AU$0.173
Nov ’24AU$0.097
AU$0.18
+89.0%
16.9%AU$0.21AU$0.14AU$0.183
Oct ’24AU$0.09
AU$0.27
+194.4%
54.3%AU$0.51AU$0.14AU$0.184
Sep ’24AU$0.086
AU$0.26
+205.2%
55.7%AU$0.51AU$0.13AU$0.164
Aug ’24AU$0.091
AU$0.26
+180.2%
59.1%AU$0.51AU$0.12AU$0.174
Jul ’24AU$0.093
AU$0.26
+179.6%
57.5%AU$0.51AU$0.12AU$0.184
Jun ’24AU$0.10
AU$0.31
+210.0%
46.3%AU$0.51AU$0.18AU$0.193
May ’24AU$0.14
AU$0.33
+144.4%
38.6%AU$0.51AU$0.23AU$0.193
Apr ’24AU$0.12
AU$0.37
+202.0%
28.9%AU$0.51AU$0.25AU$0.153
Mar ’24AU$0.11
AU$0.54
+390.9%
70.3%AU$1.07AU$0.20AU$0.143
Feb ’24AU$0.14
AU$0.54
+300.0%
70.3%AU$1.07AU$0.20AU$0.113
Jan ’24AU$0.13
AU$0.52
+310.5%
74.3%AU$1.07AU$0.20AU$0.113

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/04 10:12
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Aurelia Metals Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Ray ChantryEL&C Baillieu
Mike MillikanEuroz Hartleys Securities Limited