Challenger Gold Valuation

Is CEL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CEL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CEL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CEL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CEL?

Key metric: As CEL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CEL. This is calculated by dividing CEL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CEL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	1.1x
Earnings	AU$73.29m
Market Cap	AU$81.29m

CEL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-22.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CEL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CEL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	7.5x
MLG MLG Oz	8.1x	26.6%	AU$88.6m
MSV Mitchell Services	7.8x	6.8%	AU$71.4m
HAV Havilah Resources	11.9x	n/a	AU$66.2m
PTN Patronus Resources	2.4x	n/a	AU$104.8m
CEL Challenger Gold	1.1x	n/a	AU$81.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (7.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CEL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Metals and Mining Industry?

9 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	11.9x	10.6%
CEL Challenger Gold	1.1x	n/a	US$52.83m
KCN Kingsgate Consolidated	1.9x	-13.3%	US$243.72m
RHI Red Hill Minerals	1.8x	n/a	US$181.28m

9 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	11.9x	10.6%
CEL Challenger Gold	1.1x	n/a	US$52.83m

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (1.1x) compared to the Australian Metals and Mining industry average (11.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CEL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CEL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	1.1x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CEL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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