Stock Analysis

Terragen Holdings (ASX:TGH) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

ASX:TGH
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, Terragen Holdings (ASX:TGH) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 195%. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for Terragen Holdings shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Terragen Holdings

Does Terragen Holdings Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at December 2020, Terragen Holdings had cash of AU$14m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$4.8m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from December 2020 it had 3.0 years of cash runway. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:TGH Debt to Equity History March 3rd 2021

How Well Is Terragen Holdings Growing?

At first glance it's a bit worrying to see that Terragen Holdings actually boosted its cash burn by 47%, year on year. Having said that, it's revenue is up a very solid 58% in the last year, so there's plenty of reason to believe in the growth story. Of course, with spend going up shareholders will want to see fast growth continue. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic revenue growth shows how Terragen Holdings is building its business over time.

How Hard Would It Be For Terragen Holdings To Raise More Cash For Growth?

There's no doubt Terragen Holdings seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$85m, Terragen Holdings' AU$4.8m in cash burn equates to about 5.6% of its market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.

How Risky Is Terragen Holdings' Cash Burn Situation?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Terragen Holdings' cash burn. In particular, we think its revenue growth stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. While its increasing cash burn wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 4 warning signs for Terragen Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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