Stock Analysis

Is South32 (ASX:S32) Using Too Much Debt?

ASX:S32
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies South32 Limited (ASX:S32) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for South32

How Much Debt Does South32 Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 South32 had US$487.0m of debt, an increase on US$421.0m, over one year. However, it does have US$2.12b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$1.64b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:S32 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2022

A Look At South32's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that South32 had liabilities of US$1.52b due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.82b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$2.12b and US$707.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.51b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, South32 has a titanic market capitalization of US$16.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, South32 also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Better yet, South32 grew its EBIT by 516% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if South32 can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While South32 has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, South32 actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing up

We could understand if investors are concerned about South32's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$1.64b. The cherry on top was that in converted 102% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$1.5b. So we don't think South32's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for South32 (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.