Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By QPM Energy Limited's (ASX:QPM) 27% Share Price Plunge

QPM Energy Limited (ASX:QPM) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 4.5% over the last twelve months.

Since its price has dipped substantially, QPM Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Metals and Mining industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 45.6x and even P/S above 308x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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Check out our latest analysis for QPM Energy

What Does QPM Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, QPM Energy has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on QPM Energy.

How Is QPM Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like QPM Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been anywhere near as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 5.3% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 329%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that QPM Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From QPM Energy's P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, QPM Energy's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that QPM Energy maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for QPM Energy (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of QPM Energy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.