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We're Keeping An Eye On Ora Banda Mining's (ASX:OBM) Cash Burn Rate
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Ora Banda Mining (ASX:OBM) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
See our latest analysis for Ora Banda Mining
Does Ora Banda Mining Have A Long Cash Runway?
A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Ora Banda Mining last reported its balance sheet in June 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$11m. In the last year, its cash burn was AU$21m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 6 months from June 2020. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Is Ora Banda Mining's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Whilst it's great to see that Ora Banda Mining has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced AU$168k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Given the length of the cash runway, we'd interpret the 21% reduction in cash burn, in twelve months, as prudent if not necessary for capital preservation. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Easily Can Ora Banda Mining Raise Cash?
Even though it has reduced its cash burn recently, shareholders should still consider how easy it would be for Ora Banda Mining to raise more cash in the future. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Ora Banda Mining has a market capitalisation of AU$248m and burnt through AU$21m last year, which is 8.5% of the company's market value. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
So, Should We Worry About Ora Banda Mining's Cash Burn?
On this analysis of Ora Banda Mining's cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. Looking at the factors mentioned in this short report, we do think that its cash burn is a bit risky, and it does make us slightly nervous about the stock. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for Ora Banda Mining (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:OBM
Ora Banda Mining
Engages in the exploration, operation, and development of mineral properties in Australia.
Exceptional growth potential with adequate balance sheet.