Stock Analysis

Nickel Mines Limited's (ASX:NIC) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?

  •  Updated
ASX:NIC
Source: Shutterstock

Nickel Mines (ASX:NIC) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 38% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nickel Mines' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Nickel Mines

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nickel Mines is:

14% = US$154m ÷ US$1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every A$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn A$0.14 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Nickel Mines' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

At first glance, Nickel Mines seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 13%. This certainly adds some context to Nickel Mines' exceptional 80% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other drivers behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

We then compared Nickel Mines' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 32% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:NIC Past Earnings Growth February 26th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is NIC worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether NIC is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Nickel Mines Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Nickel Mines' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 41%, meaning the company retains 59% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Nickel Mines is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 34% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Nickel Mines' future ROE will rise to 25% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Nickel Mines' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

When trading Nickel Mines or any other investment, use the platform considered by many to be the Professional's Gateway to the Worlds Market, Interactive Brokers. You get the lowest-cost* trading on stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide from a single integrated account. Promoted


Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Nickel Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis