With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.8x Nickel Industries Limited (ASX:NIC) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Nickel Industries hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Nickel Industries
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Nickel Industries.Is There Enough Growth For Nickel Industries?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Nickel Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 64% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 63% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Nickel Industries is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On Nickel Industries' P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Nickel Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Nickel Industries that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:NIC
Nickel Industries
Engages in nickel ore mining, nickel pig iron, cobalt, and nickel matte production activities.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.