Stock Analysis

Here's Why Mastermyne Group's (ASX:MYE) Statutory Earnings Are Arguably Too Conservative

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ASX:MYE
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. Having said that, sometimes statutory profit levels are not a good guide to ongoing profitability, because some short term one-off factor has impacted profit levels. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Mastermyne Group (ASX:MYE).

While Mastermyne Group was able to generate revenue of AU$293.5m in the last twelve months, we think its profit result of AU$11.6m was more important. The good news is that the company managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, and also move from loss-making to profitable.

Check out our latest analysis for Mastermyne Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:MYE Earnings and Revenue History November 19th 2020

Of course, it is only sensible to look beyond the statutory profits and question how well those numbers represent the sustainable earnings power of the business. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what Mastermyne Group's cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Mastermyne Group.

Zooming In On Mastermyne Group's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Mastermyne Group has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to June 2020. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of AU$22m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of AU$11.6m. Mastermyne Group shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On Mastermyne Group's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Mastermyne Group produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Mastermyne Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 54% over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Mastermyne Group you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Mastermyne Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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