Stock Analysis

Shareholders in Mayur Resources (ASX:MRL) are in the red if they invested five years ago

ASX:MRL
Source: Shutterstock

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Mayur Resources Ltd (ASX:MRL), since the last five years saw the share price fall 41%.

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

View our latest analysis for Mayur Resources

With just AU$2,003,157 worth of revenue in twelve months, we don't think the market considers Mayur Resources to have proven its business plan. You have to wonder why venture capitalists aren't funding it. So it seems shareholders are too busy dreaming about the progress to come than dwelling on the current (lack of) revenue. For example, investors may be hoping that Mayur Resources finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

Companies that lack both meaningful revenue and profits are usually considered high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets to raise equity. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt.

Our data indicates that Mayur Resources had AU$11m more in total liabilities than it had cash, when it last reported in June 2024. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But since the share price has dived 10% per year, over 5 years , it looks like some investors think it's time to abandon ship, so to speak. The image below shows how Mayur Resources' balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:MRL Debt to Equity History January 29th 2025

Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? I would feel more nervous about the company if that were so. It costs nothing but a moment of your time to see if we are picking up on any insider selling.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Mayur Resources shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 20% over one year. That certainly beats the loss of about 7% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Mayur Resources better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Mayur Resources (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course Mayur Resources may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:MRL

Mayur Resources

An investment holding company, engages in the exploration and evaluation of mineral resources.

Moderate with imperfect balance sheet.

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