Metro Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Metro Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 32.2% and 10% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 40.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 56.9% in 3 years.

Key information

32.2%

Earnings growth rate

40.9%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth	10.7%
Revenue growth rate	10.0%
Future return on equity	56.9%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	14 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

There Is A Reason Metro Mining Limited's (ASX:MMI) Price Is Undemanding

Jan 13

Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Oct 11

Metro Mining (ASX:MMI) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

Sep 19

Benign Growth For Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) Underpins Its Share Price

Aug 23

Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 56%

Apr 03

Metro Mining Limited's (ASX:MMI) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Nov 23

Should You Review Recent Insider Transactions At Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI)?

Dec 29

Are Metro Mining's (ASX:MMI) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

Dec 08

How Does Metro Mining's (ASX:MMI) CEO Pay Compare With Company Performance?

Nov 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:MMI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	457	125	121	154	2
12/31/2026	502	153	185	206	2
12/31/2025	442	136	165	175	2
12/31/2024	307	16	16	50	2
6/30/2024	255	-34	-16	4	N/A
3/31/2024	245	-24	-8	8	N/A
12/31/2023	236	-13	0	12	N/A
9/30/2023	206	-25	-8	1	N/A
6/30/2023	177	-37	-15	-10	N/A
3/31/2023	177	-44	-10	-6	N/A
12/31/2022	178	-50	-4	-1	N/A
9/30/2022	185	-49	-7	-4	N/A
6/30/2022	192	-48	-9	-7	N/A
3/31/2022	176	-77	-14	-12	N/A
12/31/2021	160	-105	-18	-18	N/A
9/30/2021	127	-99	-13	-13	N/A
6/30/2021	94	-93	-8	-8	N/A
3/31/2021	111	-52	-6	-4	N/A
12/31/2020	128	-11	-3	0	N/A
9/30/2020	173	-2	14	19	N/A
6/30/2020	217	7	31	37	N/A
3/31/2020	208	5	30	38	N/A
12/31/2019	199	4	28	38	N/A
6/30/2019	142	0	-9	1	N/A
3/31/2019	130	-2	-9	2	N/A
12/31/2018	118	-4	-10	3	N/A
6/30/2018	25	-17	-54	-4	N/A
3/31/2018	13	-13	N/A	-4	N/A
12/31/2017	0	-9	N/A	-4	N/A
9/30/2017	0	-6	N/A	-4	N/A
6/30/2017	N/A	-2	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2017	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-5	N/A	-3	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-7	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-5	N/A	-3	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-3	N/A	-3	N/A
6/30/2015	0	-2	N/A	-3	N/A
3/31/2015	0	-9	N/A	-3	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-15	N/A	-3	N/A
9/30/2014	0	-15	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2014	0	-16	N/A	-2	N/A
3/31/2014	1	-10	N/A	0	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MMI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: MMI is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MMI is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MMI's revenue (10% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MMI's revenue (10% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MMI's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (56.9%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/15 07:47
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/15 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Metro Mining Limited is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Chris Brown	Morgans Financial Limited
Andrew Hines	Shaw and Partners Limited
Filipe Martins	Stifel Canada

Metro Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 15% to AU$0.10

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2024

Price target decreased by 9.4% to AU$0.12

Price target increased by 86% to AU$0.13

Price target increased by 10% to AU$0.069

Recent updates

Price target decreased by 15% to AU$0.10

There Is A Reason Metro Mining Limited's (ASX:MMI) Price Is Undemanding

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2025

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2024

Less than half of directors are independent

Metro Mining Limited Announces Board Changes

Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Metro Mining (ASX:MMI) Is Making Moderate Use Of Debt

New minor risk - Financial position

Benign Growth For Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) Underpins Its Share Price

Price target decreased by 9.4% to AU$0.12

Price target increased by 86% to AU$0.13

Metro Mining Limited has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 4 million.

Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 56%

Metro Mining Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 31, 2024

Price target increased by 10% to AU$0.069

Metro Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 21, 2024

Metro Mining Limited Announces Resumption of Transhipping Operations

Metro Mining Limited Announces Resumption of Transhipping Operations

Metro Mining Limited's (ASX:MMI) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

New minor risk - Share price stability

Is Metro Mining (ASX:MMI) Using Debt Sensibly?

Metro Mining Limited Provides Sales Guidance for the Year 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: AU$0.004 loss per share (vs AU$0.01 loss in 1H 2022)

New minor risk - Financial data availability

Metro Mining Limited announced that it has received AUD 45 million in funding from Nebari Holdings, LLC

Full year 2022 earnings released: AU$0.014 loss per share (vs AU$0.051 loss in FY 2021)

Price target decreased by 31% to AU$0.055

Independent Non-Executive Chairman exercised options to buy AU$67k worth of stock.

Metro Mining Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 25.400727 million.

First half 2022 earnings released: AU$0.01 loss per share (vs AU$0.063 loss in 1H 2021)

Price target decreased to AU$0.08

Price target increased to AU$0.09

Metro Mining Limited Announces Executive Changes

Is Metro Mining (ASX:MMI) Using Too Much Debt?

Price target increased to AU$0.075

Metro Mining Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 31, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

Metro Mining Limited Commences Operations for 2022 Season

Metro Mining Limited Announces Change of Company Secretary

Less than half of directors are independent

Auditors Have Doubts About Metro Mining (ASX:MMI)

Metro Mining Limited Announces Board Changes

Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues miss analyst expectations

Metro Mining Limited has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of AUD 8.644125 million.

First half 2021 earnings released: AU$0.063 loss per share (vs AU$0.004 loss in 1H 2020)

Is Metro Mining (ASX:MMI) Using Too Much Debt?

Consensus revenue estimates fall to AU$158.0m

Executive MD, CEO & Executive Director Simon Finnis has left the company

Price target increased to AU$0.15

Metro Mining Limited Executes Two New Offtake Agreements

Independent Non-Executive Director has left the company

Metro Mining Limited Auditor Raises 'Going Concern' Doubt

Auditors Have Doubts About Metro Mining (ASX:MMI)

Full year 2020 earnings released: AU$0.008 loss per share (vs AU$0.003 profit in FY 2019)

Revenue beats expectations

A Look At Metro Mining's (ASX:MMI) Share Price Returns

Should You Review Recent Insider Transactions At Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI)?

Are Metro Mining's (ASX:MMI) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

How Does Metro Mining's (ASX:MMI) CEO Pay Compare With Company Performance?

Price target lowered to AU$0.15

Price target lowered to AU$0.28

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources