Stock Analysis

Auditors Have Doubts About Metro Mining (ASX:MMI)

ASX:MMI
Source: Shutterstock

Unfortunately for shareholders, when Metro Mining Limited (ASX:MMI) reported results for the period to December 2021, its auditors, Ernst & Young LLP, expressed uncertainty about whether it can continue as a going concern. This means that, based on the financial results to that date, the company arguably should raise capital, or otherwise strengthen the balance sheet, as soon as possible.

Since the company probably needs cash fairly quickly, it may be in a position where it has to accept whatever terms it can get. So shareholders should absolutely be taking a close look at how risky the balance sheet is. The biggest concern we would have is the company's debt, since its lenders might force the company into administration if it cannot repay them.

See our latest analysis for Metro Mining

How Much Debt Does Metro Mining Carry?

As you can see below, Metro Mining had AU$35.8m of debt, at December 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$13.9m, its net debt is less, at about AU$21.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:MMI Debt to Equity History March 1st 2022

A Look At Metro Mining's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Metro Mining had liabilities of AU$46.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$63.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had AU$13.9m in cash and AU$16.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$79.6m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of AU$80.7m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Metro Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Metro Mining wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 25%, to AU$160m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Metro Mining's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$91m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$18m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. We prefer to avoid a company after its auditor has expressed any uncertainty about its ability to continue as a going concern. That's because we find it more comfortable to invest in companies that always keep the balance sheet reasonably strong. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Metro Mining (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.