Stock Analysis

Mineral Resources Limited (ASX:MIN) Stocks Pounded By 26% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

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ASX:MIN

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Mineral Resources Limited (ASX:MIN) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Mineral Resources may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 62.8x, since almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Mineral Resources' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Mineral Resources

ASX:MIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 30th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Mineral Resources' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Mineral Resources' Growth Trending?

Mineral Resources' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 50%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 91% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 88% each year during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Mineral Resources is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Mineral Resources' P/E

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Mineral Resources' very lofty P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Mineral Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Mineral Resources (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than Mineral Resources. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.