Stock Analysis

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited's (ASX:LOM) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

ASX:LOM
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x Lucapa Diamond Company Limited (ASX:LOM) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 98.5x and even P/S higher than 544x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Lucapa Diamond

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LOM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 3rd 2023

What Does Lucapa Diamond's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Lucapa Diamond has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Lucapa Diamond will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lucapa Diamond, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lucapa Diamond would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.5%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 84% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 84% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lucapa Diamond's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Lucapa Diamond's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Lucapa Diamond revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Lucapa Diamond.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.