Stock Analysis

Lucapa Diamond Company Limited (ASX:LOM) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

ASX:LOM
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Lucapa Diamond Company Limited's (ASX:LOM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Metals and Mining industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 99.6x and even P/S above 486x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Lucapa Diamond

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LOM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 25th 2024

How Has Lucapa Diamond Performed Recently?

The revenue growth achieved at Lucapa Diamond over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lucapa Diamond, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lucapa Diamond's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Lucapa Diamond's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.5%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Lucapa Diamond is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Lucapa Diamond's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Lucapa Diamond revealed its three-year revenue trends looking similar to current industry expectations hasn't given the P/S the boost we expected, given that it's lower than the wider industry P/S, There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching the company's performance. revenue trends suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a possibility of revenue volatility in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Lucapa Diamond.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lucapa Diamond is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.