Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Laneway Resources Limited (ASX:LNY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Laneway Resources
What Is Laneway Resources's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Laneway Resources had AU$3.56m of debt, an increase on AU$1.82m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
A Look At Laneway Resources' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Laneway Resources had liabilities of AU$5.19m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$2.09m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$30.4k as well as receivables valued at AU$49.2k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$7.21m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Laneway Resources has a market capitalization of AU$19.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Laneway Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that Laneway Resources finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.
Caveat Emptor
While Laneway Resources's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$2.1m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$4.2m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Laneway Resources you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:SVG
Savannah Goldfields
Explores for, evaluates, and develops gold and silver properties in Australia.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.