Evolution Mining (EVN) Stock Overview
Engages in the exploration, mine development and operation, and sale of gold and gold-copper concentrates in Australia and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 6/6 |
| Financial Health | 4/6 |
| Dividends | 4/6 |
EVN Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 60 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Materials opportunity
ST
Fair Value from
CA$5.0768.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
An Undervalued 3.3Moz Gold Project in Canada
Key takeaways Upside Gold is developing the Kena Gold Project, near the town of Nelson in the Kootenays region of southern British Columbia. Kena hosts a historical gold resource of 3.33 million ounces (561,000 ounces Indicated and 2.77 million ounces Inferred) across a 10,200-hectare land package.
Read full narrativeEvolution Mining Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$13.05 |
| 52 Week High | AU$17.75 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$6.96 |
| Beta | 1.65 |
| 1 Month Change | -6.25% |
| 3 Month Change | -9.00% |
| 1 Year Change | 51.22% |
| 3 Year Change | 245.24% |
| 5 Year Change | 168.52% |
| Change since IPO | 528.52% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 09
EVN: Optimistic Commodity Assumptions Will Likely Restrain Future Share Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Evolution Mining into a higher A$11.50 to A$14.50 range, citing refreshed commodity price forecasts, higher assumed profit margins and a P/E closer to 12x that feed through to a higher fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Evolution Mining highlights a split view.
Narrative Update • Apr 22
EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Dividend Strength Under Rising Geopolitical Risk
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$18.25 to A$18.70, reflecting updated commodity price decks and price target increases across recent research that reassess the stock under tighter commodity balances and higher geopolitical risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Evolution Mining has become more constructive, with several bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on commodity prices and risk.Narrative Update • Apr 08
EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Dividend And Earnings Resilience
Analysts have lifted the price target on Evolution Mining to A$14.50 from A$9.90, citing updated commodity price decks, higher long-term metal price assumptions and a shift in sector views that now place the stock at or near sector perform or hold ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a clear shift in how the street is framing Evolution Mining, with several bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on metal prices and risk, then feeding those changes into updated valuation work.
Narrative Update • Mar 24
EVN: Higher Commodity Decks Will Likely Support Repriced Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$13.17 to A$13.91, reflecting higher price targets across the Street as they refresh commodity price decks and factor in updated views on gold and broader metals markets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Evolution Mining has shifted meaningfully in recent weeks as analysts refresh commodity price assumptions and update valuation models.Narrative Update • Mar 09
EVN: Updated Commodity Assumptions And Dividend Outlook Will Support Stronger Future Profitability
Narrative Update on Evolution Mining The analyst fair value estimate for Evolution Mining has shifted from A$14.25 to A$18.25, with analysts pointing to updated commodity price decks and refreshed gold and precious metals models. These updates have also led to higher price targets in recent Street research.Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 09
EVN: Optimistic Commodity Assumptions Will Likely Restrain Future Share Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have lifted their price targets on Evolution Mining into a higher A$11.50 to A$14.50 range, citing refreshed commodity price forecasts, higher assumed profit margins and a P/E closer to 12x that feed through to a higher fair value estimate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Evolution Mining highlights a split view.Narrative Update • Apr 22
EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Dividend Strength Under Rising Geopolitical Risk
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$18.25 to A$18.70, reflecting updated commodity price decks and price target increases across recent research that reassess the stock under tighter commodity balances and higher geopolitical risk. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Evolution Mining has become more constructive, with several bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on commodity prices and risk.Narrative Update • Apr 08
EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Support Dividend And Earnings Resilience
Analysts have lifted the price target on Evolution Mining to A$14.50 from A$9.90, citing updated commodity price decks, higher long-term metal price assumptions and a shift in sector views that now place the stock at or near sector perform or hold ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a clear shift in how the street is framing Evolution Mining, with several bullish analysts revisiting their assumptions on metal prices and risk, then feeding those changes into updated valuation work.Narrative Update • Mar 24
EVN: Higher Commodity Decks Will Likely Support Repriced Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$13.17 to A$13.91, reflecting higher price targets across the Street as they refresh commodity price decks and factor in updated views on gold and broader metals markets. Analyst Commentary Street research on Evolution Mining has shifted meaningfully in recent weeks as analysts refresh commodity price assumptions and update valuation models.Narrative Update • Mar 09
EVN: Updated Commodity Assumptions And Dividend Outlook Will Support Stronger Future Profitability
Narrative Update on Evolution Mining The analyst fair value estimate for Evolution Mining has shifted from A$14.25 to A$18.25, with analysts pointing to updated commodity price decks and refreshed gold and precious metals models. These updates have also led to higher price targets in recent Street research.Narrative Update • Feb 23
EVN: Higher Commodity Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Justify Elevated Pricing
Narrative Update Overview The updated analyst work on Evolution Mining lifts the fair value estimate from A$12.63 to A$13.17, reflecting higher commodity price assumptions and refreshed models that have also seen Street price targets move higher into the A$11.50 to A$13.75 range. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from covering analysts show a mixed but constructive setup for Evolution Mining, with higher price targets on the back of refreshed commodity price decks and valuation work.Analysis Article • Feb 11
What Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Despite an already strong run, Evolution Mining Limited ( ASX:EVN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in...Narrative Update • Feb 09
EVN: Higher Metal Price Assumptions Will Likely Fail To Offset Rich Pricing
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Evolution Mining from A$10.23 to A$12.63, with updated models and a new precious metals price deck resulting in a higher A$13.75 price target, even as the stock is now rated Hold. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Evolution Mining, with higher valuation benchmarks but more tempered expectations around upside from current levels.Narrative Update • Jan 26
EVN: Rich Precious Metal Assumptions Will Likely Cap Future Share Upside
Narrative update The analyst price target for Evolution Mining has been lifted to A$13.75 from A$12.45, with analysts pointing to updated models that reflect their new precious metals price deck and refreshed assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have shifted to a more cautious stance on Evolution Mining, even as their price target has been set at A$13.75 compared with the prior A$12.45.Narrative Update • Jan 11
EVN: Joint Venture Lithium Project Will Support Stronger Future Profitability
Analysts have lifted their price target on Evolution Mining from A$8.90 to A$14.25, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Surge Battery Metals USA Inc.Narrative Update • Dec 25
EVN: Premium Gold Price Assumptions Will Likely Expose Downside Risk
Analysts have raised their price target on Evolution Mining by A$2.00 to A$10.50, reflecting upgraded fair value assumptions driven by higher gold price expectations and improved forecasts for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary The latest price target revision to A$10.50 from A$8.50 by JPMorgan underscores a constructive view on Evolution Mining, supported by a stronger gold price outlook and expectations for margin expansion.Narrative Update • Dec 11
EVN: Higher Gold Prices Will Likely Prove Insufficient Against Rising Cost Pressures
Analysts have raised their price target on Evolution Mining from A$10.05 to A$10.23, citing higher forecast gold prices, slightly stronger revenue growth and margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple in their updated valuation work. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan recently raised its price target on Evolution Mining to A$10.50 from A$8.50 and reiterated an Overweight rating, reflecting a more constructive outlook on sector fundamentals and the company’s leverage to higher gold prices.Narrative Update • Nov 26
EVN: Gold Price Gains Will Likely Face Risks From Cost Pressures
Narrative Update on Evolution Mining Analysts have increased their price target for Evolution Mining from A$9.93 to A$10.05. This change is attributed to improved revenue growth and profit margins, as well as favorable outlooks for gold prices.Analysis Article • Nov 13
Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) CEO Looks Like They Deserve Their Pay Packet
Key Insights Evolution Mining's Annual General Meeting to take place on 20th of November CEO Lawrie Conway's total...Narrative Update • Nov 08
EVN: Gold Price Strength And Stable Outlook Will Shape Next Phase
Analysts have increased their price target for Evolution Mining from A$8.50 to A$10.50, with stronger gold prices cited as the primary driver behind this upward revision. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have raised their outlook on Evolution Mining following continued strength in gold prices.Narrative Update • Oct 25
Rising Gold Prices And Margins Will Increase Confidence Despite Market Uncertainty
Analysts have raised their price target for Evolution Mining from A$8.72 to A$9.93. They cite stronger gold prices, improved revenue growth forecasts, and higher expected profit margins as key drivers behind the update.Narrative Update • Oct 11
Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist
Analysts have raised their price target for Evolution Mining from A$8.50 to A$10.50, as a result of improved gold price forecasts and stronger growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are optimistic about Evolution Mining's ability to capitalize on rising gold prices, which is anticipated to have a positive effect on revenues and profitability.Analysis Article • Sep 27
Does Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narrative Update • Sep 27
Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist
The consensus analyst price target for Evolution Mining has been raised to A$7.73, primarily reflecting improved outlooks for both revenue growth and net profit margin. What's in the News Evolution Mining formed a JV with Surge Battery Metals for the development of the Nevada North Lithium Project, initially holding a 23% interest, with potential to increase to 32.5% upon staged funding of up to CAD 10 million.Narrative Update • Sep 12
Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist
The consensus analyst price target for Evolution Mining has been revised upward to A$7.48, citing limited near-term catalysts after recent share outperformance. Analyst Commentary Limited near-term catalysts following recent stock outperformance.Analysis Article • Sep 11
There's Reason For Concern Over Evolution Mining Limited's (ASX:EVN) Massive 26% Price Jump
Evolution Mining Limited ( ASX:EVN ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Gold Safe-Haven Demand Will Boost Outlook While Costs Persist
Despite a notable downgrade in consensus revenue growth forecasts and an increase in the future P/E multiple, Evolution Mining’s consensus analyst price target has only marginally increased from A$7.12 to A$7.22. What's in the News Reported FY25 gold production of 750,512 oz (up from 716,700 oz) and copper production of 76,261 oz (up from 67,862 oz).Analysis Article • Jul 16
Calculating The Fair Value Of Evolution Mining Limited (ASX:EVN)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Evolution Mining is AU$8.55 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analysis Article • May 16
Here's Why Evolution Mining (ASX:EVN) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
New Narrative • Dec 02
Exploration Success And Cowal Underground Expansion To Boost Earnings And Margins
Successful exploration and latent capacity leverage could enhance future earnings and cost efficiency, improving net margins.Shareholder Returns
| EVN | AU Metals and Mining | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| 1Y | 51.2% | 57.3% | 5.8% |
Return vs Industry: EVN underperformed the Australian Metals and Mining industry which returned 57.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: EVN exceeded the Australian Market which returned 5.8% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| EVN volatility | |
|---|---|
| EVN Average Weekly Movement | 9.1% |
| Metals and Mining Industry Average Movement | 12.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.5% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 17.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 4.5% |
Stable Share Price: EVN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: EVN's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | n/a | Lawrie Conway | evolutionmining.com |
Evolution Mining Limited engages in the exploration, mine development and operation, and sale of gold and gold-copper concentrates in Australia and Canada. It also explores for copper and silver deposits. The company was formerly known as Catalpa Resources Limited and changed its name to Evolution Mining Limited in November 2011.
Evolution Mining Limited Fundamentals Summary
| EVN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$26.51b |
| Earnings (TTM) | AU$1.33b |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$5.11b |
20.0x
P/E Ratio5.2x
P/S RatioIs EVN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| EVN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | AU$5.11b |
| Cost of Revenue | AU$2.94b |
| Gross Profit | AU$2.18b |
| Other Expenses | AU$850.12m |
| Earnings | AU$1.33b |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
Jul 15, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.65 |
| Gross Margin | 42.59% |
| Net Profit Margin | 25.97% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 25.4% |
How did EVN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.1%
Current Dividend Yield50%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/09 22:10 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Evolution Mining Limited is covered by 33 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Daniel Morgan | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Mollie Urquhart | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |