Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Cyprium Metals Limited (ASX:CYM) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cyprium Metals
What Is Cyprium Metals's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Cyprium Metals had AU$29.7m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$25.5m, its net debt is less, at about AU$4.23m.
How Healthy Is Cyprium Metals' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cyprium Metals had liabilities of AU$14.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$72.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$25.5m in cash and AU$1.07m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$60.0m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Cyprium Metals has a market capitalization of AU$118.6m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Cyprium Metals's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Cyprium Metals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Cyprium Metals's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable AU$27m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$57m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 6 warning signs for Cyprium Metals (of which 3 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:CYM
Cyprium Metals
Engages in the identifying, exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral properties in Australia.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.