Stock Analysis

There Is A Reason Capricorn Metals Ltd's (ASX:CMM) Price Is Undemanding

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ASX:CMM

Capricorn Metals Ltd's (ASX:CMM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Metals and Mining industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 86.3x and even P/S above 539x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Capricorn Metals

ASX:CMM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024

What Does Capricorn Metals' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Capricorn Metals has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Capricorn Metals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Capricorn Metals?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Capricorn Metals' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 21% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 139% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Capricorn Metals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Capricorn Metals' P/S Mean For Investors?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Capricorn Metals' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Having said that, be aware Capricorn Metals is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Capricorn Metals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Capricorn Metals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.