ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Fair Value In September 2025

Simply Wall St

As the Australian market navigates through the typical September sell-off season, investors are closely watching sectors like energy and healthcare for signs of resilience amid fluctuating gold prices and anticipation of a US Federal Reserve decision. In this environment, identifying stocks trading below their fair value can be a strategic move, as these opportunities may offer potential for growth once market conditions stabilize.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Reckon (ASX:RKN)A$0.61A$1.1948.5%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.215A$2.0641.1%
Kinatico (ASX:KYP)A$0.295A$0.5445%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$5.65A$10.7347.4%
Fenix Resources (ASX:FEX)A$0.40A$0.6841.4%
Elders (ASX:ELD)A$7.70A$14.0445.1%
Credit Clear (ASX:CCR)A$0.245A$0.4747.6%
CleanSpace Holdings (ASX:CSX)A$0.785A$1.4144.2%
Betmakers Technology Group (ASX:BET)A$0.185A$0.3141%
Aussie Broadband (ASX:ABB)A$5.40A$10.6949.5%

Click here to see the full list of 32 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's review some notable picks from our screened stocks.

Capricorn Metals (ASX:CMM)

Overview: Capricorn Metals Ltd, along with its subsidiaries, focuses on the exploration, development, evaluation, and production of gold in Australia and has a market cap of A$5.09 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its Karlawinda segment, amounting to A$505.89 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 22.1%

Capricorn Metals appears undervalued, trading at A$11.79 below its fair value of A$15.14, with a strong cash flow position bolstered by recent earnings growth and debt repayment. The company's revenue and earnings are forecast to grow significantly faster than the market, supported by robust sales of A$505.89 million for the year ended June 2025 and net income of A$150.28 million, highlighting its potential for future expansion projects without reliance on external financing.

ASX:CMM Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

Duratec (ASX:DUR)

Overview: Duratec Limited, listed as ASX:DUR, provides assessment, protection, remediation, and refurbishment services for steel and concrete infrastructure in Australia with a market cap of A$512.31 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Energy (A$82.51 million), Defence (A$181.36 million), Buildings & Facades (A$111.87 million), and Mining & Industrial (A$136.65 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 19.7%

Duratec is trading at A$1.99, below its fair value of A$2.48, with earnings projected to grow 13.8% annually, outpacing the market's 10.8%. Recent financials show sales of A$573.03 million and net income of A$22.83 million for the year ended June 2025, reflecting steady growth in revenue and earnings per share compared to last year. The appointment of Ms Emma Scotney as a Non-Executive Director enhances governance and strategic oversight capabilities.

ASX:DUR Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

Lovisa Holdings (ASX:LOV)

Overview: Lovisa Holdings Limited operates in the retail sector, focusing on the sale of fashion jewelry and accessories, with a market capitalization of A$4.39 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived entirely from the retail sale of fashion jewelry and accessories, amounting to A$798.13 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.6%

Lovisa Holdings is trading at A$39.66, slightly below its fair value of A$44.85, with earnings expected to grow 16.19% annually, surpassing the Australian market's 10.8%. Recent results show sales increased to A$798.13 million from A$698.66 million last year, and net income rose to A$86.33 million from A$82.41 million, indicating solid performance despite a slight dividend decrease to A$0.27 for the six months ended June 30, 2025.

ASX:LOV Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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