Stock Analysis

Carbonxt Group Limited (ASX:CG1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

ASX:CG1
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Carbonxt Group Limited (ASX:CG1) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, Carbonxt Group may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x, considering almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S higher than 34x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Carbonxt Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CG1 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 21st 2024

What Does Carbonxt Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Carbonxt Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Carbonxt Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Carbonxt Group would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 1,871% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Carbonxt Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What Does Carbonxt Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Carbonxt Group have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Carbonxt Group revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Having said that, be aware Carbonxt Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Carbonxt Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.