Stock Analysis

Boab Metals Limited's (ASX:BML) Shift From Loss To Profit

ASX:BML
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Boab Metals Limited (ASX:BML) is possibly approaching a major achievement in its business, so we would like to shine some light on the company. Boab Metals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral tenements in Australia. The AU$30m market-cap company announced a latest loss of AU$3.3m on 30 June 2024 for its most recent financial year result. The most pressing concern for investors is Boab Metals' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

View our latest analysis for Boab Metals

Expectations from some of the Australian Metals and Mining analysts is that Boab Metals is on the verge of breakeven. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2026, before turning a profit of AU$116m in 2027. So, the company is predicted to breakeven approximately 3 years from today. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 53% is expected, which is extremely buoyant. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:BML Earnings Per Share Growth November 21st 2024

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Boab Metals' upcoming projects, though, keep in mind that typically a metal and mining business has lumpy cash flows which are contingent on the natural resource mined and stage at which the company is operating. So, a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.

One thing we’d like to point out is that Boab Metals has no debt on its balance sheet, which is quite unusual for a cash-burning metals and mining company, which usually has a high level of debt relative to its equity. The company currently operates purely off its shareholder funding and has no debt obligation, reducing concerns around repayments and making it a less risky investment.

Next Steps:

This article is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis on Boab Metals, so if you are interested in understanding the company at a deeper level, take a look at Boab Metals' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also put together a list of pertinent factors you should further research:

  1. Valuation: What is Boab Metals worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Boab Metals is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Boab Metals’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Boab Metals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.