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Boral Valuation

Is BLD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BLD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BLD (A$5.83) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$3.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BLD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BLD?

Key metric: As BLD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BLD. This is calculated by dividing BLD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BLD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30x
EarningsAU$210.40m
Market CapAU$6.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BLD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BLD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.3x
CSR CSR
18.6x3.0%AU$4.3b
JHX James Hardie Industries
35.8x17.6%AU$24.3b
WGN Wagners Holding
23.7x18.5%AU$243.9m
LYC Lynas Rare Earths
79x42.7%AU$6.7b
BLD Boral
30x11.1%AU$6.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BLD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Basic Materials Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLD 30.0xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies50PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30x) compared to the Global Basic Materials industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BLD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BLD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30x
Fair PE Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BLD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BLD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$5.35
0%
17.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
AU$5.35
0%
17.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
AU$5.35
0%
17.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
AU$5.35
0%
17.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
AU$5.35
0%
17.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
AU$5.35
0%
17.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a6
Jun ’25AU$5.77
AU$5.74
-0.5%
15.3%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a10
May ’25AU$5.69
AU$5.67
-0.3%
14.4%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a12
Apr ’25AU$6.12
AU$5.65
-7.8%
15.0%AU$7.00AU$4.30n/a12
Mar ’25AU$6.05
AU$5.46
-9.8%
12.8%AU$6.40AU$4.30n/a11
Feb ’25AU$5.31
AU$4.94
-7.0%
11.4%AU$6.00AU$3.90n/a13
Jan ’25AU$5.39
AU$4.78
-11.3%
13.7%AU$5.80AU$3.30n/a12
Dec ’24AU$4.96
AU$4.64
-6.5%
15.2%AU$5.60AU$3.29n/a13
Nov ’24AU$4.50
AU$4.47
-0.6%
13.6%AU$5.15AU$3.29n/a13
Oct ’24AU$4.45
AU$4.51
+1.3%
12.9%AU$5.15AU$3.29n/a13
Sep ’24AU$4.82
AU$4.51
-6.5%
12.5%AU$5.15AU$3.29n/a14
Aug ’24AU$4.40
AU$3.94
-10.4%
12.3%AU$4.80AU$3.00n/a14
Jul ’24AU$4.03
AU$3.84
-4.6%
11.1%AU$4.50AU$3.00n/a14
Jun ’24AU$4.02
AU$3.74
-6.9%
11.4%AU$4.50AU$3.00AU$5.7714
May ’24AU$4.14
AU$3.78
-8.8%
11.3%AU$4.50AU$3.00AU$5.6913
Apr ’24AU$3.52
AU$3.70
+5.1%
11.0%AU$4.50AU$3.00AU$6.1211
Mar ’24AU$3.65
AU$3.66
+0.3%
12.8%AU$4.50AU$2.85AU$6.0512
Feb ’24AU$3.48
AU$3.24
-6.8%
15.8%AU$4.00AU$2.20AU$5.3112
Jan ’24AU$2.89
AU$3.04
+5.0%
16.0%AU$4.00AU$2.20AU$5.3912
Dec ’23AU$3.03
AU$3.04
+0.2%
16.0%AU$4.00AU$2.20AU$4.9612
Nov ’23AU$2.88
AU$3.04
+5.7%
15.7%AU$4.00AU$2.20AU$4.5012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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