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CSR Valuation

Is CSR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSR (A$8.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$10.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSR is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSR?

Key metric: As CSR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CSR. This is calculated by dividing CSR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CSR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.6x
EarningsAU$231.00m
Market CapAU$4.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average366x
BLD Boral
30x11.1%AU$6.3b
JHX James Hardie Industries
35.8x17.6%AU$24.3b
WGN Wagners Holding
23.7x18.5%AU$243.9m
IGO IGO
1374.7x41.1%AU$3.8b
CSR CSR
18.6x3.0%AU$4.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Basic Materials Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CSR 18.6xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies50PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the Global Basic Materials industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.6x
Fair PE Ratio12.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
AU$8.60
0%
10.4%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
AU$8.60
0%
10.4%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
AU$8.60
0%
10.4%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
AU$8.60
0%
10.4%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
AU$8.60
0%
10.4%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a6
Jul ’25AU$8.97
AU$8.60
-4.1%
10.4%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a6
Jun ’25AU$8.90
AU$8.78
-1.3%
7.9%AU$9.00AU$6.60n/a11
May ’25AU$8.87
AU$7.69
-13.4%
17.9%AU$9.00AU$5.60n/a12
Apr ’25AU$8.82
AU$7.39
-16.2%
18.7%AU$9.00AU$5.60n/a12
Mar ’25AU$8.83
AU$7.39
-16.3%
18.7%AU$9.00AU$5.60n/a12
Feb ’25AU$6.89
AU$6.22
-9.8%
8.1%AU$7.10AU$5.60n/a15
Jan ’25AU$6.60
AU$6.03
-8.7%
6.9%AU$6.75AU$5.50n/a15
Dec ’24AU$5.89
AU$5.97
+1.4%
7.1%AU$6.75AU$5.50n/a14
Nov ’24AU$5.62
AU$5.70
+1.5%
9.3%AU$6.60AU$4.90n/a14
Oct ’24AU$5.65
AU$5.61
-0.8%
10.8%AU$6.60AU$4.50n/a14
Sep ’24AU$5.97
AU$5.54
-7.2%
10.4%AU$6.60AU$4.50n/a14
Aug ’24AU$5.78
AU$5.54
-4.1%
10.4%AU$6.60AU$4.50n/a14
Jul ’24AU$5.19
AU$5.51
+6.2%
10.7%AU$6.60AU$4.50AU$8.9714
Jun ’24AU$4.92
AU$5.51
+11.9%
11.1%AU$6.60AU$4.50AU$8.9013
May ’24AU$5.39
AU$5.42
+0.6%
10.6%AU$6.50AU$4.55AU$8.8712
Apr ’24AU$4.75
AU$5.44
+14.5%
11.0%AU$6.50AU$4.55AU$8.8211
Mar ’24AU$5.11
AU$5.44
+6.5%
11.0%AU$6.50AU$4.55AU$8.8311
Feb ’24AU$5.27
AU$5.49
+4.1%
9.9%AU$6.50AU$4.70AU$6.8911
Jan ’24AU$4.71
AU$5.43
+15.3%
10.6%AU$6.50AU$4.70AU$6.6011
Dec ’23AU$4.98
AU$5.43
+9.0%
10.6%AU$6.50AU$4.70AU$5.8911
Nov ’23AU$4.69
AU$5.45
+16.3%
11.2%AU$6.50AU$4.80AU$5.6211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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