David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Brickworks Limited (ASX:BKW) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Brickworks
What Is Brickworks's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of January 2021 Brickworks had AU$599.2m of debt, an increase on AU$506.0m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$115.1m, its net debt is less, at about AU$484.1m.
How Healthy Is Brickworks' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Brickworks had liabilities of AU$234.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$1.09b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$115.1m as well as receivables valued at AU$104.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total AU$1.11b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Brickworks is worth AU$3.09b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 1.9 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2 hit our confidence in Brickworks like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Looking on the bright side, Brickworks boosted its EBIT by a silky 54% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Brickworks can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Brickworks recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 85% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
The good news is that Brickworks's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Brickworks can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Brickworks (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About ASX:BKW
Brickworks
Engages in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of building products for the residential and commercial markets in Australia and North America.
Moderate growth potential with imperfect balance sheet.