Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Bowen Coking Coal Limited's (ASX:BCB) Revenues As Shares Take 66% Pounding

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ASX:BCB

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Bowen Coking Coal Limited (ASX:BCB) shares are down a considerable 66% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 87% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, Bowen Coking Coal may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 69.8x and even P/S higher than 442x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Bowen Coking Coal

ASX:BCB Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 23rd 2024

What Does Bowen Coking Coal's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Bowen Coking Coal certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bowen Coking Coal.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Bowen Coking Coal's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has also set the world alight, thanks to the last 12 months of incredible growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 90% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Bowen Coking Coal's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Bowen Coking Coal's P/S

Bowen Coking Coal's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Bowen Coking Coal's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Bowen Coking Coal, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Bowen Coking Coal's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bowen Coking Coal might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.