Stock Analysis

Companies Like Apollo Minerals (ASX:AON) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. By way of example, Apollo Minerals (ASX:AON) has seen its share price rise 443% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Apollo Minerals' cash burn is. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

Check out our latest analysis for Apollo Minerals

Advertisement

How Long Is Apollo Minerals' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. When Apollo Minerals last reported its balance sheet in December 2020, it had zero debt and cash worth AU$1.6m. Importantly, its cash burn was AU$1.2m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 17 months from December 2020. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:AON Debt to Equity History May 19th 2021

How Is Apollo Minerals' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Apollo Minerals has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced AU$47k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. The 66% reduction in its cash burn over the last twelve months may be good for protecting the balance sheet but it hardly points to imminent growth. Admittedly, we're a bit cautious of Apollo Minerals due to its lack of significant operating revenues. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

How Hard Would It Be For Apollo Minerals To Raise More Cash For Growth?

There's no doubt Apollo Minerals' rapidly reducing cash burn brings comfort, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund further growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Apollo Minerals' cash burn of AU$1.2m is about 2.4% of its AU$48m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

So, Should We Worry About Apollo Minerals' Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about Apollo Minerals' cash burn. In particular, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. On this analysis its cash runway was its weakest feature, but we are not concerned about it. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Separately, we looked at different risks affecting the company and spotted 6 warning signs for Apollo Minerals (of which 3 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

If you decide to trade Apollo Minerals, use the lowest-cost* platform that is rated #1 Overall by Barron’s, Interactive Brokers. Trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds on 135 markets, all from a single integrated account. Promoted


New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About ASX:AON

Apollo Minerals

Engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia and internationally.

Medium-low risk with adequate balance sheet.

Advertisement

Updated Narratives

CO
ASTOR logo
composite32 on Astor Enerji ·

Astor Enerji will surge with a fair value of $140.43 in the next 3 years

Fair Value:₺140.4335.5% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
PROX logo
RecMag on Proximus ·

Proximus: The State-Backed Backup Plan with 7% Gross Yield and 15% Currency Upside.

Fair Value:€17.1356.7% undervalued
30 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
IPT logo
Agricola on IMPACT Silver ·

A case for for IMPACT Silver Corp (TSXV:IPT) to reach USD $4.52 (CAD $6.16) in 2026 (23 bagger in 1 year) and USD $5.76 (CAD $7.89) by 2030

Fair Value:CA$7.8996.2% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
101 users have followed this narrative
10 users have commented on this narrative
20 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3929.3% undervalued
932 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
OS
oscargarcia
GOOGL logo
oscargarcia on Alphabet ·

The company that turned a verb into a global necessity and basically runs the modern internet, digital ads, smartphones, maps, and AI.

Fair Value:US$3405.8% undervalued
139 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
18 users have liked this narrative