Suncorp Group Limited

ASX:SUN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$25.0b

Suncorp Group Valuation

Is SUN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUN (A$19.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$25.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUN?

Key metric: As SUN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUN. This is calculated by dividing SUN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.6x
EarningsAU$939.00m
Market CapAU$24.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.7x
QBE QBE Insurance Group
11.2x0.9%AU$29.0b
IAG Insurance Australia Group
21.5x5.4%AU$19.3b
SDF Steadfast Group
27.6x10.9%AU$6.3b
NHF nib holdings
14.5x6.3%AU$2.7b
SUN Suncorp Group
26.6x4.7%AU$25.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the peer average (18.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Insurance Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SUN 26.6xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies70PE0816243240+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the Global Insurance industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$19.63
AU$18.85
-4.0%
9.9%AU$22.80AU$14.50n/a13
Nov ’25AU$17.76
AU$18.45
+3.9%
8.5%AU$20.50AU$14.50n/a12
Oct ’25AU$17.73
AU$18.26
+3.0%
7.8%AU$20.50AU$14.50n/a12
Sep ’25AU$17.67
AU$18.05
+2.1%
7.4%AU$19.95AU$14.50n/a13
Aug ’25AU$17.79
AU$17.85
+0.3%
8.1%AU$20.20AU$14.50n/a13
Jul ’25AU$17.13
AU$17.01
-0.7%
6.1%AU$19.00AU$14.50n/a12
Jun ’25AU$15.91
AU$16.89
+6.2%
5.3%AU$18.25AU$14.50n/a13
May ’25AU$16.24
AU$16.82
+3.6%
6.6%AU$18.25AU$13.50n/a13
Apr ’25AU$16.38
AU$16.42
+0.2%
5.4%AU$17.05AU$13.50n/a13
Mar ’25AU$15.33
AU$16.38
+6.8%
5.5%AU$17.05AU$13.50n/a13
Feb ’25AU$14.18
AU$15.29
+7.8%
5.4%AU$17.00AU$13.50n/a12
Jan ’25AU$13.85
AU$15.08
+8.9%
5.5%AU$17.20AU$13.50n/a12
Dec ’24AU$14.00
AU$15.10
+7.8%
5.3%AU$17.20AU$13.50n/a13
Nov ’24AU$13.56
AU$15.09
+11.3%
5.3%AU$17.20AU$13.50AU$17.7613
Oct ’24AU$13.97
AU$15.07
+7.9%
5.3%AU$17.20AU$13.50AU$17.7313
Sep ’24AU$13.66
AU$15.06
+10.2%
5.3%AU$17.20AU$13.50AU$17.6713
Aug ’24AU$14.08
AU$14.82
+5.2%
5.9%AU$16.60AU$13.00AU$17.7913
Jul ’24AU$13.49
AU$14.44
+7.0%
5.4%AU$16.30AU$13.00AU$17.1313
Jun ’24AU$13.36
AU$14.38
+7.6%
5.4%AU$16.30AU$13.00AU$15.9114
May ’24AU$12.59
AU$14.26
+13.3%
5.6%AU$16.30AU$13.00AU$16.2412
Apr ’24AU$12.11
AU$14.27
+17.9%
5.6%AU$16.30AU$13.00AU$16.3812
Mar ’24AU$12.90
AU$14.27
+10.6%
5.6%AU$16.30AU$13.00AU$15.3312
Feb ’24AU$12.60
AU$13.78
+9.4%
6.1%AU$15.80AU$13.00AU$14.1812
Jan ’24AU$12.04
AU$13.53
+12.4%
7.7%AU$15.40AU$11.30AU$13.8511
Dec ’23AU$11.78
AU$13.57
+15.2%
7.9%AU$15.40AU$11.30AU$14.0010
Nov ’23AU$11.65
AU$13.34
+14.5%
9.8%AU$15.40AU$10.20AU$13.5610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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