Insurance Australia Group Limited

ASX:IAG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$17.5b

Insurance Australia Group Valuation

Is IAG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IAG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IAG (A$7.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$11.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IAG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IAG?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

IAG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IAG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IAG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
QBE QBE Insurance Group
9.8x0.9%AU$25.4b
SUN Suncorp Group
24x4.5%AU$22.5b
SDF Steadfast Group
26.2x10.9%AU$6.0b
AUB AUB Group
27.3x11.1%AU$3.7b
IAG Insurance Australia Group
19.5x5.5%AU$17.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IAG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the peer average (21.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IAG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.5%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IAG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the Global Insurance industry average (10.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IAG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IAG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.5x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: IAG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IAG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$7.40
AU$7.55
+2.0%
7.8%AU$8.40AU$6.30n/a12
Oct ’25AU$7.33
AU$7.43
+1.3%
7.5%AU$8.25AU$6.30n/a12
Sep ’25AU$7.55
AU$7.30
-3.3%
9.1%AU$8.25AU$6.15n/a13
Aug ’25AU$7.42
AU$7.17
-3.4%
9.6%AU$8.10AU$6.00n/a13
Jul ’25AU$7.11
AU$6.91
-2.8%
10.1%AU$8.10AU$6.00n/a13
Jun ’25AU$6.20
AU$6.38
+2.9%
6.8%AU$7.20AU$5.45n/a14
May ’25AU$6.41
AU$6.36
-0.8%
7.2%AU$7.20AU$5.45n/a14
Apr ’25AU$6.40
AU$6.23
-2.7%
6.2%AU$6.95AU$5.45n/a14
Mar ’25AU$6.15
AU$6.15
+0.05%
5.5%AU$6.75AU$5.45n/a14
Feb ’25AU$6.06
AU$6.05
-0.2%
5.6%AU$6.60AU$5.50n/a13
Jan ’25AU$5.66
AU$6.03
+6.5%
5.1%AU$6.50AU$5.45n/a13
Dec ’24AU$5.94
AU$5.90
-0.8%
7.5%AU$6.50AU$5.09n/a14
Nov ’24AU$5.72
AU$5.90
+3.1%
7.5%AU$6.50AU$5.09AU$7.3914
Oct ’24AU$5.68
AU$5.89
+3.6%
7.5%AU$6.50AU$5.09AU$7.3314
Sep ’24AU$5.83
AU$5.88
+0.8%
7.4%AU$6.50AU$5.09AU$7.5514
Aug ’24AU$5.96
AU$5.68
-4.7%
7.3%AU$6.25AU$4.80AU$7.4214
Jul ’24AU$5.70
AU$5.43
-4.8%
7.1%AU$6.05AU$4.70AU$7.1114
Jun ’24AU$5.20
AU$5.29
+1.8%
7.4%AU$5.75AU$4.30AU$6.2015
May ’24AU$5.00
AU$5.24
+4.8%
7.8%AU$5.75AU$4.30AU$6.4113
Apr ’24AU$4.69
AU$5.19
+10.6%
7.5%AU$5.72AU$4.30AU$6.4013
Mar ’24AU$4.65
AU$5.19
+11.6%
7.5%AU$5.72AU$4.30AU$6.1513
Feb ’24AU$4.91
AU$5.38
+9.6%
8.0%AU$6.03AU$4.40AU$6.0613
Jan ’24AU$4.75
AU$5.27
+11.0%
10.2%AU$6.00AU$4.20AU$5.6612
Dec ’23AU$4.78
AU$5.30
+10.8%
10.5%AU$6.00AU$4.20AU$5.9411
Nov ’23AU$4.98
AU$5.27
+5.8%
11.6%AU$6.00AU$3.90AU$5.7211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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