Suncorp Group Limited

ASX:SUN Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$18.5b

Suncorp Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Suncorp Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 10.8% and 1.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.7% in 3 years.

Key information

10.8%

Earnings growth rate

11.69%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth6.9%
Revenue growth rate1.3%
Future return on equity12.67%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated22 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 04

SUN: Future Returns Will Depend On Leadership Stability And Dividend Delivery

Analysts have nudged their Suncorp Group price target higher to around A$18.74 from about A$18.29, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, slightly different long term revenue growth expectations, and modest changes to projected profit margins and future P/E levels. What's in the News CEO Steve Johnston is taking a short period of temporary leave to recuperate from a medical procedure, with current CFO Jeremy Robson stepping in as Acting CEO during this time (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 16

SUN: Future Returns Will Rely On Earnings Delivery And Dividend Stability

Analysts have nudged their price target for Suncorp Group slightly higher from about A$18.18 to around A$18.29, citing updated assumptions on revenue, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers of this small adjustment. What's in the News CEO Steve Johnston is taking a short period of temporary leave to recuperate from a medical procedure, with current CFO Jeremy Robson stepping in as Acting CEO during this time (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 02

SUN: Future Upside Will Hinge On Earnings Delivery And Dividend Support

Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to Suncorp Group's assessed fair value to about A$18.18 per share, citing a minor refinement in profit margin and forward P/E assumptions, while also pointing to recent research that highlights what is viewed as a compelling valuation at current share levels. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary from Goldman Sachs, alongside the updated fair value of about A$18.18 per share, gives you a clearer view of how the market is framing Suncorp Group at current prices.
Narrative Update Mar 18

SUN: Future Confidence Will Rely On Earnings Execution And Dividend Support

Analysts have trimmed the Suncorp Group fair value estimate slightly from A$18.21 to A$18.20, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. They also note that recent Street research views the current share price as offering a compelling entry point.
Narrative Update Mar 04

SUN: Upgraded Buy Rating And Dividend Outlook Will Support Future Confidence

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Suncorp Group from A$19.14 to A$18.21, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as recent research highlights what is seen as a compelling valuation at current share levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Suncorp Group reflect a mix of optimism on valuation and caution around execution, which helps explain why some fair value estimates have been trimmed even as others see room for upside.
Narrative Update Feb 18

SUN: Reaffirmed Buy Rating Will Support Future Earnings Confidence

Analysts have maintained their A$20 price target for Suncorp Group, with the unchanged fair value estimate of A$19.14 supported by views that its current share price offers what they see as a compelling entry point. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the reaffirmed A$20 price target as support for what they view as upside potential relative to the current share price.
Analysis Article Feb 10

Here's Why We Think Suncorp Group (ASX:SUN) Is Well Worth Watching

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Narrative Update Feb 04

SUN: Upgraded Buy Rating Will Support Future Earnings And Margin Conviction

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Suncorp Group from A$19.70 to A$19.14, citing updated assumptions for profit margins and future P/E. They still view the current share price as offering compelling value.
Narrative Update Jan 20

SUN: Fair Value Will Stay Appealing As Goldman Buy Rating Supports Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Suncorp Group from A$20.34 to A$19.70, while still pointing to current share levels as attractive based on recent research support. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that the latest fair value cut to A$19.70 still sits close to the A$20 price target.
Narrative Update Jan 05

SUN: Fair Value Will Remain Attractive As Profitability Expectations Hold Steady

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Suncorp Group to A$20.34 from A$20.54, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that are now slightly lower in their models. Valuation Changes Fair Value: trimmed slightly from A$20.54 to A$20.34, reflecting modestly lower model outputs.
Narrative Update Dec 16

SUN: Fair Value Outlook Will Stay Strong As Margin Prospects Improve

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Suncorp Group, trimming fair value by about $0.12 per share to approximately $20.54. This reflects marginally softer long term growth assumptions that are only partly offset by a modest improvement in expected profit margins and future valuation multiples.
Narrative Update Dec 02

SUN: Fair Value Outlook Will Remain Robust As Key Metrics Hold Steady

Analysts have lowered their price target for Suncorp Group from $21.69 to $20.66, reflecting an updated outlook that incorporates slightly reduced revenue growth expectations as well as minor adjustments to profit margin and future earnings projections. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has decreased from A$21.69 to A$20.66, reflecting a modest downward revision.
Narrative Update Nov 18

SUN: Fair Value Outlook To Remain Strong Amid Stable Key Metrics

Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Suncorp Group at $21.69, citing minimal changes in key underlying metrics and reiterating their prior outlook. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at A$21.69 per share.
Analysis Article Nov 08

Little Excitement Around Suncorp Group Limited's (ASX:SUN) Earnings

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.5x Suncorp Group Limited ( ASX:SUN ) may be sending bullish signals at...
Narrative Update Nov 03

SUN: Buyback And Dividend Actions Will Support Future Shareholder Returns

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Suncorp Group from $21.94 to $21.69, citing revised assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a buyback plan on August 13, 2025 (Key Developments) Suncorp Group announced a buyback program worth up to AUD 400 million, valid until June 30, 2026.
Analysis Article Sep 24

Here's Why We Think Suncorp Group (ASX:SUN) Is Well Worth Watching

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Jul 23

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Suncorp Group Limited's (ASX:SUN) Price

There wouldn't be many who think Suncorp Group Limited's ( ASX:SUN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.6x is...
Analysis Article Jul 02

Weekly Picks: 💸 SUN's Insurance Dividends, NCH2's Hydrogen Exposure, and TSLA's Robotic Inflection Point

Why Suncorp’s insurance-only pivot gives it room to grow revenues, why Thyssenkrupp Nucera can leverage its unique position for green hydrogen adoption, and why Tesla is reaching an AI and robotics inflection point
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New Narrative Jun 23

Suncorp’s Next Chapter: Insurance-Only and Ready to Grow

As of 31 July 2024, Suncorp completed the sale of its banking division to ANZ, marking a significant strategic shift to become a pure-play insurance company. Almost a year into this transformation, it
Analysis Article Jun 11

Here's Why We Think Suncorp Group (ASX:SUN) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
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New Narrative Feb 09

Bank Sale Will Strengthen Focus On Core Insurance Operations

The transition to a pure-play insurer and digital modernization enhances operational focus, efficiency, and net profit margins.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:SUN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202814,8041,3261,5801,5747
6/30/202714,2921,2771,5451,7177
6/30/202613,9349351,1101,7967
12/31/202515,0789861,6821,682N/A
9/30/202515,0171,2732,1162,116N/A
6/30/202514,9551,5602,5502,550N/A
3/31/202514,4481,4414,3284,328N/A
12/31/202413,9441,3224,1094,109N/A
9/30/202413,4781,1313,3033,303N/A
6/30/202413,0129392,4972,497N/A
12/31/202310,565594-1,143-1,143N/A
9/30/202310,914643-134-134N/A
6/30/202311,262692875875N/A
3/31/202316,1139931,3501,350N/A
12/31/202215,0178451,9621,962N/A
9/30/202215,0047632,2242,224N/A
6/30/202214,9906812,4852,485N/A
3/31/202214,457806N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202113,9239313,8143,814N/A
9/30/202114,0559824,0794,079N/A
6/30/202114,1871,0334,3444,344N/A
12/31/202015,1077693,7133,713N/A
9/30/202014,9386983,5573,557N/A
6/30/202014,7696273,4003,400N/A
12/31/201915,1871,0273,8383,838N/A
9/30/201915,3741,041N/A2,840N/A
6/30/201915,5601,054N/A1,842N/A
12/31/201814,375931N/A84N/A
9/30/201814,283944N/A-897N/A
6/30/201814,190956N/A-1,879N/A
3/31/201815,107947N/A-2,276N/A
12/31/201716,024938N/A-2,674N/A
9/30/201716,7101,007N/A-1,239N/A
6/30/201717,3951,075N/A195N/A
3/31/201716,8161,060N/A-174N/A
12/31/201616,2361,045N/A-543N/A
9/30/201615,7821,042N/A-1,637N/A
6/30/201615,3271,038N/A-2,732N/A
3/31/201615,6251,035N/A-2,129N/A
12/31/201515,9221,032N/A-1,527N/A
9/30/201516,3221,083N/A-984N/A
6/30/201516,7221,133N/A-441N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SUN's forecast earnings growth (10.8% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SUN's earnings (10.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SUN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: SUN's revenue (1.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SUN's revenue (1.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SUN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.7%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/31 22:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/29 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Suncorp Group Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew AdamsBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Freya KongBofA Global Research
Andrew ScottCGS International