Stock Analysis

We Think EMvision Medical Devices (ASX:EMV) Can Afford To Drive Business Growth

ASX:EMV
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. By way of example, EMvision Medical Devices (ASX:EMV) has seen its share price rise 438% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether EMvision Medical Devices'cash burn is too risky In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for EMvision Medical Devices

When Might EMvision Medical Devices Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at June 2020, EMvision Medical Devices had cash of AU$5.4m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$3.3m. Therefore, from June 2020 it had roughly 20 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:EMV Debt to Equity History November 25th 2020

How Is EMvision Medical Devices' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, EMvision Medical Devices doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just AU$1.4m in the last twelve months. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. Over the last year its cash burn actually increased by 47%, which suggests that management are increasing investment in future growth, but not too quickly. However, the company's true cash runway will therefore be shorter than suggested above, if spending continues to increase. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how EMvision Medical Devices has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

Can EMvision Medical Devices Raise More Cash Easily?

Given its cash burn trajectory, EMvision Medical Devices shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

EMvision Medical Devices' cash burn of AU$3.3m is about 1.2% of its AU$278m market capitalisation. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

So, Should We Worry About EMvision Medical Devices' Cash Burn?

On this analysis of EMvision Medical Devices' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Its important for readers to be cognizant of the risks that can affect the company's operations, and we've picked out 3 warning signs for EMvision Medical Devices that investors should know when investing in the stock.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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