Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Up To 44% Below Their Intrinsic Value

ASX:RPL
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As the ASX 200 closed with modest gains, buoyed by sectors like Real Estate and Healthcare, investors are keeping a close watch on inflationary pressures highlighted in the recent RBA minutes. In this environment of cautious optimism, identifying stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value can offer potential opportunities for those looking to navigate the market's complexities.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Data#3 (ASX:DTL)A$6.43A$12.2947.7%
Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)A$3.57A$6.2242.6%
Medibank Private (ASX:MPL)A$3.81A$6.3840.2%
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$25.02A$43.5242.5%
Ansell (ASX:ANN)A$33.65A$60.0744%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.66A$9.2049.4%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$15.07A$28.7247.5%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.53A$4.8948.3%
Sandfire Resources (ASX:SFR)A$9.55A$16.4942.1%

Click here to see the full list of 36 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Ansell (ASX:ANN)

Overview: Ansell Limited is a company that designs, sources, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells hand and body protection solutions across various regions including the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, the Caribbean, and North America with a market cap of A$4.87 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is divided into two main segments: Healthcare, generating $834.20 million, and Industrial (Including Specialty Markets), contributing $785.10 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 44%

Ansell is trading at A$33.23, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$60.04, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a decline in profit margins from 9% to 4.7%, earnings are expected to grow significantly at 22.72% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.5%. However, recent executive changes with the CFO's resignation could impact future financial stability and investor confidence.

ASX:ANN Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024
ASX:ANN Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024

Regal Partners (ASX:RPL)

Overview: Regal Partners Limited is a privately owned hedge fund sponsor with a market cap of A$1.20 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from the provision of investment management services, amounting to A$198.50 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42.6%

Regal Partners, trading at A$3.57, is significantly undervalued relative to its fair value estimate of A$6.22, presenting potential based on cash flows. Despite past shareholder dilution and low forecasted return on equity (15.9%), earnings are projected to grow substantially at 21.1% annually, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.5%. However, significant insider selling in recent months may raise concerns about internal confidence amidst ongoing takeover discussions with Platinum Investment Management Limited.

ASX:RPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024
ASX:RPL Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024

Technology One (ASX:TNE)

Overview: Technology One Limited develops, markets, sells, implements, and supports integrated enterprise business software solutions in Australia and internationally with a market cap of A$10.05 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments include Software generating A$347.35 million, Corporate contributing A$87.02 million, and Consulting providing A$72.17 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 30.6%

Technology One is trading at A$30.72, significantly below its fair value estimate of A$44.25, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent earnings growth of 14.7% and a net income increase to A$118.01 million underscore robust performance, with forecasted annual earnings growth of 16.1%, outpacing the Australian market's 12.5%. Despite slower projected revenue growth compared to high benchmarks, strong return on equity forecasts suggest continued financial strength amidst recent dividend increases and solid revenue figures of A$506.54 million for the year ended September 2024.

ASX:TNE Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024
ASX:TNE Discounted Cash Flow as at Dec 2024

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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