Select Harvests Limited

CHIA:SHV Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$515.9m

Select Harvests Valuation

Is SHV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHV (A$3.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$2.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHV is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHV?

Key metric: As SHV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SHV. This is calculated by dividing SHV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SHV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.5x
SalesAU$204.92m
Market CapAU$515.85m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SHV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SHV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
RIC Ridley
0.7x4.7%AU$869.0m
ELD Elders
0.4x5.0%AU$1.2b
LGL Lynch Group Holdings
0.5x5.9%AU$213.6m
CGC Costa Group Holdings
1x6.2%AU$1.5b
SHV Select Harvests
2.5x11.5%AU$515.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SHV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SHV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Food Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NOU Noumi
0.09x3.2%US$34.32m
MBH Maggie Beer Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$12.93m
BFC Beston Global Food
0.04xn/aUS$4.12m
TFL TasFoods
0.1xn/aUS$3.69m
SHV 2.5xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies10PS012345+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SHV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the Australian Food industry average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SHV is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SHV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.64
AU$4.28
+17.5%
10.4%AU$4.60AU$3.40n/a6
Nov ’25AU$3.60
AU$4.45
+23.6%
13.2%AU$5.47AU$3.40n/a7
Oct ’25AU$3.63
AU$4.46
+23.0%
13.7%AU$5.47AU$3.40n/a7
Sep ’25AU$4.08
AU$4.61
+13.0%
13.8%AU$5.53AU$3.40n/a7
Aug ’25AU$4.21
AU$4.61
+9.5%
13.8%AU$5.53AU$3.40n/a7
Jul ’25AU$3.72
AU$4.42
+18.9%
14.9%AU$5.53AU$3.40n/a8
Jun ’25AU$3.27
AU$4.48
+37.1%
13.5%AU$5.39AU$3.40n/a8
May ’25AU$3.45
AU$4.59
+33.2%
11.5%AU$5.39AU$3.75n/a8
Apr ’25AU$4.42
AU$4.79
+8.4%
11.1%AU$5.53AU$3.75n/a8
Mar ’25AU$4.30
AU$4.79
+11.4%
11.1%AU$5.53AU$3.75n/a8
Feb ’25AU$3.96
AU$4.56
+15.1%
11.0%AU$5.53AU$3.75n/a7
Jan ’25AU$2.92
AU$4.41
+51.1%
12.7%AU$5.20AU$3.25n/a7
Dec ’24AU$3.27
AU$4.46
+36.5%
10.4%AU$5.20AU$3.60n/a7
Nov ’24AU$3.99
AU$4.91
+22.9%
8.3%AU$5.30AU$4.10AU$3.606
Oct ’24AU$4.02
AU$4.94
+23.0%
8.5%AU$5.30AU$4.10AU$3.636
Sep ’24AU$4.20
AU$5.27
+25.7%
10.8%AU$5.90AU$4.10AU$4.086
Aug ’24AU$4.21
AU$5.27
+25.3%
10.8%AU$5.90AU$4.10AU$4.216
Jul ’24AU$4.15
AU$5.27
+27.1%
10.8%AU$5.90AU$4.10AU$3.726
Jun ’24AU$4.51
AU$5.28
+17.1%
10.8%AU$5.90AU$4.10AU$3.276
May ’24AU$4.48
AU$5.16
+15.2%
10.2%AU$5.52AU$4.25AU$3.454
Apr ’24AU$4.13
AU$5.50
+33.3%
18.1%AU$7.50AU$4.25AU$4.426
Mar ’24AU$4.15
AU$5.67
+36.7%
17.0%AU$7.50AU$4.30AU$4.306
Feb ’24AU$3.87
AU$5.67
+46.6%
17.0%AU$7.50AU$4.30AU$3.966
Jan ’24AU$3.93
AU$6.26
+59.4%
12.2%AU$7.50AU$4.90AU$2.926
Dec ’23AU$4.45
AU$6.26
+40.8%
12.2%AU$7.50AU$4.90AU$3.276
Nov ’23AU$5.41
AU$6.90
+27.6%
4.3%AU$7.50AU$6.60AU$3.996

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Ricegrowers

AU$627.6m

Operates as a rice food company in Australia, New Zealand, the Pacific Islands, the Middle East, the United States, and internationally.

SGLLV

AU$9.78

7D

5.2%

1Y

n/a

Lynch Group Holdings

AU$207.5m

Operates as a grower, wholesaler, retailer, and importer of flowers and potted plants in Australia and China.

LGL

AU$1.84

7D

2.2%

1Y

-9.4%

Noumi

AU$56.8m

Engages in develops, sources, manufactures, markets, sells, and distributes plant-based and dairy beverages, dairy and nutritional products to wholesale and consumer markets.

NOU

AU$0.19

7D

-5.0%

1Y

97.9%