David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that The Original Juice Co. Ltd (ASX:OJC) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Original Juice
How Much Debt Does Original Juice Carry?
As you can see below, Original Juice had AU$6.22m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have AU$2.38m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$3.84m.
A Look At Original Juice's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Original Juice had liabilities of AU$13.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$11.6m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$2.38m and AU$3.06m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total AU$19.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Original Juice has a market capitalization of AU$38.5m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Original Juice will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Original Juice wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 24%, to AU$46m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Original Juice managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost AU$3.6m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$2.6m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Original Juice (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:OJC
Original Juice
Operates as a beverage and wellness supplement company in Australia and Asia.
Low with weak fundamentals.