Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, The Original Juice Co. Ltd (ASX:OJC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Original Juice
What Is Original Juice's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Original Juice had debt of AU$6.14m, up from AU$5.21m in one year. However, it does have AU$1.56m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$4.58m.
How Strong Is Original Juice's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Original Juice had liabilities of AU$12.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of AU$12.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$1.56m in cash and AU$2.38m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$20.5m.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$19.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Original Juice's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Original Juice's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Original Juice reported revenue of AU$42m, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Original Juice managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost AU$1.7m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of AU$2.8m. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Original Juice that you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:SPG
SPC Global Holdings
Operates as a beverage and wellness supplement company in Australia and Asia.
Imperfect balance sheet very low.