Stock Analysis

Inghams Group's (ASX:ING) Dividend Is Being Reduced To A$0.045

ASX:ING
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The board of Inghams Group Limited (ASX:ING) has announced that the dividend on 6th of April will be reduced by 31% from last year's A$0.065 to A$0.045. This means that the dividend yield is 2.3%, which is a bit low when comparing to other companies in the industry.

See our latest analysis for Inghams Group

Inghams Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Before making this announcement, Inghams Group's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 18%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.

historic-dividend
ASX:ING Historic Dividend February 20th 2023

Inghams Group's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Inghams Group has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.052 in 2017 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.07. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.1% a year over that time. We have seen cuts in the past, so while the growth looks promising we would be a little bit cautious about its track record.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Inghams Group's earnings per share has shrunk at 35% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's not great to see that the dividend has been cut, but this might be explained by the payments being a bit high previously. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Inghams Group (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:ING

Inghams Group

Produces and sells chicken and turkey products under the Ingham’s brand in Australia and New Zealand.

Undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.

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