Investors Appear Satisfied With Farm Pride Foods Limited's (ASX:FRM) Prospects As Shares Rocket 44%
The Farm Pride Foods Limited (ASX:FRM) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 44%. The annual gain comes to 136% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Farm Pride Foods' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Australia's Food industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
We've discovered 3 warning signs about Farm Pride Foods. View them for free.Check out our latest analysis for Farm Pride Foods
What Does Farm Pride Foods' Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Farm Pride Foods' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. Perhaps the market believes the recent run-of-the-mill revenue performance isn't enough to outperform the industry, which has kept the P/S muted. Those who are bullish on Farm Pride Foods will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Farm Pride Foods, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Farm Pride Foods?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Farm Pride Foods would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 26% in total over the last three years. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 9.1% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's clear to see why Farm Pride Foods' P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Farm Pride Foods' P/S?
Farm Pride Foods' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we've seen, Farm Pride Foods' three-year revenue trends seem to be contributing to its P/S, given they look similar to current industry expectations. With previous revenue trends that keep up with the current industry outlook, it's hard to justify the company's P/S ratio deviating much from it's current point. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Farm Pride Foods has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:FRM
Farm Pride Foods
Produces, processes, manufactures, and sells eggs and egg products in Australia.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.
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