Stock Analysis

Three ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading With Intrinsic Discounts Ranging From 11.5% To 48.5%

ASX:ELD
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Despite a relatively flat performance in the past week, the Australian market has seen a growth of 7.2% over the past year, with earnings expected to grow by 13% per annum. In this context, identifying stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value could offer potential opportunities for investors looking for growth in a steadily advancing market.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
MaxiPARTS (ASX:MXI)A$2.04A$3.9448.2%
GTN (ASX:GTN)A$0.445A$0.8547.4%
Elders (ASX:ELD)A$8.39A$16.2848.5%
VEEM (ASX:VEE)A$1.70A$3.5151.6%
IPH (ASX:IPH)A$6.25A$12.0047.9%
ReadyTech Holdings (ASX:RDY)A$3.26A$6.2647.9%
Australian Clinical Labs (ASX:ACL)A$2.52A$4.7446.9%
Core Lithium (ASX:CXO)A$0.091A$0.1745.9%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
SiteMinder (ASX:SDR)A$5.20A$10.0248.1%

Click here to see the full list of 52 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool

Elders (ASX:ELD)

Overview: Elders Limited operates primarily in Australia, offering agricultural products and services to rural and regional customers, with a market capitalization of approximately A$1.33 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue through three main segments: Branch Network (A$2.54 billion), Wholesale Products (A$341.19 million), and Feed and Processing Services (A$120.14 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.5%

Elders Limited, currently trading at A$8.39, appears undervalued by more than 20%, with a calculated fair value of A$16.28 based on discounted cash flows. Despite a challenging year with net profit margins dropping from 3.4% to 2.1% and a significant earnings decline in the first half of 2024, Elders is forecasted to grow earnings by 22.8% annually over the next three years. However, its high level of debt and dividends not well covered by earnings pose risks that temper its attractiveness as an undervalued stock based on cash flows.

ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
ASX:ELD Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

South32 (ASX:S32)

Overview: South32 Limited is a diversified metals and mining company with operations across multiple countries including Australia, India, and the United States, and has a market capitalization of approximately A$17.37 billion.

Operations: South32's revenue is derived from various segments including Cannington with $588 million, Cerro Matoso at $541 million, Sierra Gorda generating $649 million, Brazil Alumina contributing $443 million, Mozal Aluminium at $801 million, Worsley Alumina with $1.36 billion, Hillside Aluminium producing $1.72 billion, Australia Manganese at $651 million, Brazil Aluminium (BA) contributing $210 million, South Africa Manganese with $321 million, and Illawarra Metallurgical Coal generating $1.36 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 34%

South32, priced at A$3.85, is assessed below its fair value of A$5.84, reflecting a significant undervaluation based on discounted cash flows. The company's earnings are expected to rise substantially, with forecasts suggesting a 55.12% annual increase and profitability anticipated within three years. South32's revenue growth is also projected to outpace the Australian market average. However, its forecasted return on equity of 11.4% in three years indicates potential limitations in financial efficiency.

ASX:S32 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
ASX:S32 Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Webjet (ASX:WEB)

Overview: Webjet Limited operates as an online travel booking service across Australia, New Zealand, the UAE, the UK, and globally, with a market capitalization of approximately A$3.59 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue through three primary channels: corporate travel services contributing A$0.80 million, Business to Business (B2B) travel at A$327.90 million, and Business to Consumer (B2C) travel amounting to A$142.80 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 11.5%

Webjet, trading at A$9.19, is considered undervalued with its market price 11.6% lower than the estimated fair value of A$10.39. The company's earnings have increased by 401.4% over the past year and are expected to continue growing at a rate of 20.25% annually, outpacing the Australian market's average growth rate. Recent strategic moves include a demerger aimed at enhancing operational focus and unlocking shareholder value, supported by significant leadership changes and advisory from Goldman Sachs on strategic financial structuring.

ASX:WEB Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024
ASX:WEB Discounted Cash Flow as at Jul 2024

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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