Stock Analysis

Xstate Resources Limited (ASX:XST) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

ASX:XST
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Xstate Resources Limited (ASX:XST) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Oil and Gas companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 5.7x and even P/S higher than 1100x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Xstate Resources

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:XST Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 20th 2023

How Has Xstate Resources Performed Recently?

Xstate Resources certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xstate Resources, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Xstate Resources?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Xstate Resources' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 131% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 2.0% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Xstate Resources' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Xstate Resources' P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Looking at the figures, it's surprising to see Xstate Resources currently trades on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year revenue growth is beating forecasts for a struggling industry. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. The most obvious risk is that its revenue trajectory may not keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Xstate Resources (2 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Xstate Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.