The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that MC Mining Limited (ASX:MCM) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for MC Mining
What Is MC Mining's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, MC Mining had US$23.4m of debt, up from US$20.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$1.96m in cash leading to net debt of about US$21.5m.
How Strong Is MC Mining's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MC Mining had liabilities of US$30.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$15.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.96m as well as receivables valued at US$4.05m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$39.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the US$15.0m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, MC Mining would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since MC Mining will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, MC Mining made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$15m, which is a fall of 35%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While MC Mining's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$8.1m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. But we think that is unlikely, given it is low on liquid assets, and burned through US$5.2m in the last year. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for MC Mining (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About ASX:MCM
MC Mining
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of coking and thermal coal projects in South Africa.
Mediocre balance sheet low.