Stock Analysis

We Think Matrix Composites & Engineering (ASX:MCE) Needs To Drive Business Growth Carefully

ASX:MCE
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So, the natural question for Matrix Composites & Engineering (ASX:MCE) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

Check out our latest analysis for Matrix Composites & Engineering

Does Matrix Composites & Engineering Have A Long Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. In December 2021, Matrix Composites & Engineering had AU$7.7m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$6.0m. That means it had a cash runway of around 16 months as of December 2021. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:MCE Debt to Equity History August 16th 2022

How Well Is Matrix Composites & Engineering Growing?

Matrix Composites & Engineering boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 66%. While that isa little concerning at a glance, the company has a track record of recent growth, evidenced by the impressive 80% growth in revenue, over the very same year. On balance, we'd say the company is improving over time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Matrix Composites & Engineering is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Matrix Composites & Engineering To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Matrix Composites & Engineering seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$31m, Matrix Composites & Engineering's AU$6.0m in cash burn equates to about 19% of its market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

Is Matrix Composites & Engineering's Cash Burn A Worry?

On this analysis of Matrix Composites & Engineering's cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Matrix Composites & Engineering you should be aware of, and 3 of them are significant.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.