Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Karoon Energy Ltd's (ASX:KAR) Revenues

ASX:KAR
Source: Shutterstock

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x Karoon Energy Ltd (ASX:KAR) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Oil and Gas companies in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 7x and even P/S above 1100x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Karoon Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:KAR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 17th 2023

How Karoon Energy Has Been Performing

Karoon Energy could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Karoon Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Karoon Energy?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Karoon Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 49%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.3% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 57% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Karoon Energy's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Karoon Energy's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Karoon Energy has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Karoon Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Karoon Energy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.