Stock Analysis

Empire Energy Group Limited's (ASX:EEG) market cap dropped AU$31m last week; Retail investors bore the brunt

ASX:EEG
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Key Insights

  • Empire Energy Group's significant retail investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • 50% of the business is held by the top 13 shareholders
  • Insider ownership in Empire Energy Group is 28%

If you want to know who really controls Empire Energy Group Limited (ASX:EEG), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 46% to be precise, is retail investors. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

While insiders who own 28% came under pressure after market cap dropped to AU$193m last week,retail investors took the most losses.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Empire Energy Group.

See our latest analysis for Empire Energy Group

ownership-breakdown
ASX:EEG Ownership Breakdown November 7th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Empire Energy Group?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

Empire Energy Group already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Empire Energy Group's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:EEG Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Empire Energy Group. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Paul Fudge with 14% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 8.1% and 7.6%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 13 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There is a little analyst coverage of the stock, but not much. So there is room for it to gain more coverage.

Insider Ownership Of Empire Energy Group

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

It seems insiders own a significant proportion of Empire Energy Group Limited. Insiders own AU$54m worth of shares in the AU$193m company. This may suggest that the founders still own a lot of shares. You can click here to see if they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 46% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Company Ownership

Our data indicates that Private Companies hold 13%, of the company's shares. Private companies may be related parties. Sometimes insiders have an interest in a public company through a holding in a private company, rather than in their own capacity as an individual. While it's hard to draw any broad stroke conclusions, it is worth noting as an area for further research.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Empire Energy Group .

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Empire Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.